PAPER Fear Fade (FF2) v1

Generated 2026-03-04 13:32:37 UTC · Geopolitical/military/catastrophe fear spikes fade on unlikely events. Buy NO when YES < 20%.

📊 Summary Stats

Total Trades

Open

Closed

100.0%

Win Rate

+$0.04

Realized PnL

+$0.04

Avg Win

$0.00

Avg Loss

Avg Hold Time

Max Consec. Losses

📍 Open Positions (11)

Market	Side	Entry	Current	Unreal. PnL	Size	Held
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	NO	0.076	0.043	+$57.96	$5.0	2d 0h
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 3…	NO	0.091	0.028	+$48.43	$5.0	2d 6h
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	NO	0.107	0.055	+$39.16	$5.0	2d 0h
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2…	NO	0.13	0.106	+$29.38	$5.0	1d 8h
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	NO	0.142	0.088	+$27.10	$5.0	2d 0h
NATO Article 5 by March 31?	?	0.0685	0.038	$0.00	$5.0	2d 13h
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?	?	0.119	0.092	$0.00	$5.0	2d 13h
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?	?	0.094	0.111	$0.00	$5.0	2d 13h
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?	?	0.074	0.034	$0.00	$5.0	2d 13h
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	?	0.065	0.055	$0.00	$5.0	2d 9h
NATO Article 5 by March 31?	?	0.118	0.038	$0.00	$5.0	2d 9h
Total Unrealized:				+$202.03

📜 Trade Log (1 closed)

ID	Market	Side	Entry	Exit	PnL	Hold	Exit Reason	Date
ff2-0x96cd1b	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by Jun…	NO	0.13	0.123	+$0.04	0m	FULL_TAKE_PROFIT	2026-03-04

📋 Rules & Limits

Entry Threshold	YES price spike detected on fear market (geo/military/catastrophe); YES < 20%; cluster guard
Position Sizing	$5/trade paper
Take Profit	Mean reversion: 5c full TP, 3c partial TP (50%)
Stop Loss	YES rises 15c above entry
Time Stop	5 days
Max Positions	20 total; 3 per geo-cluster (correlation guard)
Max Per Market	—
Run Frequency	Every 2h (fear-fade.timer)
Current Version	1
Bot File	infra/fear_fade_bot.py
Service	—
Timer	fear-fade.timer

🎯 Score / Signal State

No real-time signal data for this strategy.

🔧 Service Health

Service	⚫ `—` — —
Timer	🟢 `fear-fade.timer` — active
Last Trigger	—
Next Trigger	—

Last 3 log lines:

2026-03-04T12:01:22+00:00 srv1356548 fear-fade[335899]: ============================================================ 2026-03-04T12:01:22+00:00 srv1356548 systemd[1799]: Finished fear-fade.service - Drex Capital — FF2 Fear Fade Paper Trading Bot (Geo/Military Hype Reversion). 2026-03-04T12:01:22+00:00 srv1356548 systemd[1799]: fear-fade.service: Consumed 563ms CPU time, 73M memory peak.

📈 Equity Curve

Not enough data for chart (need 3+ closed trades)