🦞 Drex Capital — Operations Dashboard

Generated 2026-03-01 05:30:29 UTC · All data read directly from bot output files · PAPER MODE

147
Total Trades
68
Open Positions
79
Closed
81.0%
Win Rate
$274.24
Realized PnL
$-33.01
Unrealized PnL
$580
Capital Deployed

📊 Strategy Performance

StatusStrategyTradesOpenClosedWRR:REV/TradePnLLast TradeData Age
PAPER Strategy 1B — Momentum Threshold
BTC Up/Down 15m/1h/4h. Entry 0.80-0.95. BE WR: ~85% at sweet spot.
13 0 13 92.3% (WR (v3)) 0.13 $0.1946 +$2.53 2026-02-27 21:56 1h 25m ago
PAPER Strategy 4 — Hype Reversion
Buys NO on YES price spikes. Sells hype. Geo filters + crisis regime.
0 0 0 $0.00 2d ago
PAPER Mention Arbitrage
Buys YES on mention markets with high evidence scores.
4 1 3 100.0% (WR (v1)) $81.4400 +$244.32 2026-02-25 23:15 12h 2m ago
PAPER CAL-M1: Fade Favorites
Buy NO on overpriced favorites (crypto >60¢, politics/econ >80-85¢).
2 2 0 $0.00 2026-02-28 16:52 9h 29m ago
PAPER CAL-M2: Trump Longshots
Buy YES on Trump longshot markets (20-40¢ range).
1 1 0 $0.00 2026-02-28 20:00 9h 29m ago
PAPER CAL-M3: Falling Favorites
Buy NO on favorites with downward price momentum.
1 1 0 $0.00 2026-02-28 16:26 9h 29m ago
PAPER CAL-M4: Sports Favorites
Sports market favorites — fading overpriced YES/NO outcomes.
2 1 1 100.0% (WR (v1)) $0.0174 +$0.02 2026-02-28 18:01 9h 29m ago
PAPER Time Decay Sniper
Near-certainty mispricing near expiry. 95%+ WR backtest. Crypto micro-markets excluded.
3 3 0 $0.00 37m ago
PAPER Strategy CM — Cross-Market Arb
Finds logically impossible price combinations across 5,000+ markets. Bets on guaranteed correction.
39 38 1 100.0% (WR (v1)) $3.2500 +$3.25 2026-03-01 03:09 14m ago
PAPER Manual / Legacy Trades
WC + early mention arb. Prices tracked via Gamma API.
3 3 0 $0.00 2026-02-25 09:15 12h 2m ago

📍 Open Positions (70)

StrategyMarketSideEntryNowUnreal. PnLSizeOpened
Mention Arb will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-this-week-march-1 YES 0.155 0.022 -$42.90 $50 2026-02-25 23:15
CAL-M1: Fade Favorites bitcoin-above-58k-on-march-1 NO 0.0105 1.000 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CAL-M1: Fade Favorites bitcoin-above-60k-on-march-3 NO 0.0935 0.957 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CAL-M2: Trump Longshots trump-declares-election-interference-national-emergency YES 0.315 0.320 +$0.08 $5.0 2026-02-28 20:00
CAL-M3: Falling Favorites will-ostium-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026 NO 0.155 0.860 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-02-28 16:26
CAL-M4: Sports Favorites will-the-oklahoma-city-thunder-finish-with-the-best-re… YES 0.644 0.566 -$0.61 $5.0 2026-02-28 17:08
TD Time Decay will-john-cornyn-win-the-2026-republican-primary NO 0.19 0.205 -$0.39 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-cd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-colombian-senat… NO 0.06 0.043 +$1.46 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-plc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-colombian-cham… NO 0.15 0.095 +$1.83 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-rose-byrne-win-best-actress-at-the-98th-academy-a… NO 0.05 0.045 +$0.45 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-sinners-win-best-production-design-at-the-98th-ac… NO 0.05 0.043 +$0.70 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-sinners-win-best-costume-design-at-the-98th-acade… NO 0.051 0.049 +$0.25 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-ethan-hawke-win-best-actor-at-the-98th-academy-aw… NO 0.06 0.061 -$0.08 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-hamnet-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-98th-ac… NO 0.06 0.060 $0.00 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-marty-supreme-win-best-original-screenplay-at-the… NO 0.063 0.063 $0.00 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-ryan-coogler-win-best-director-at-the-98th-academ… NO 0.07 0.060 +$0.68 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-sinners-win-best-film-editing-at-the-98th-academy… NO 0.072 0.084 -$0.83 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-movie-a-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98th-aca… NO 0.076 0.068 +$0.56 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-delroy-lindo-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98t… NO 0.084 0.083 +$0.06 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-michael-b-jordan-win-best-actor-at-the-98th-acade… NO 0.091 0.085 +$0.36 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-leonardo-dicaprio-win-best-actor-at-the-98th-acad… NO 0.11 0.115 -$0.23 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-train-dreams-win-best-cinematography-at-the-98th-… NO 0.128 0.124 +$0.14 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-f1-the-movie-win-best-film-editing-at-the-98th-ac… NO 0.133 0.136 -$0.11 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-sinners-win-best-picture-at-the-98th-academy-awar… NO 0.15 0.165 -$0.48 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-sinners-win-best-cinematography-at-the-98th-acade… NO 0.17 0.180 -$0.29 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-wunmi-mosaku-win-best-supporting-actress-at-the-9… NO 0.202 0.210 -$0.20 $5.0 ?
TD Time Decay will-jacob-elordi-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98t… NO 0.06 0.058 +$0.21 $5.0 ?
CM Cross-Mkt CM-001 L1: Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Pro… YES 0.0035 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-001 L2: Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Provi… NO 0.528 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-002 L2: Will Arizona win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's… NO 0.75 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-003 L1: Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bis… YES 0.0055 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-004 L1: Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize i… YES 0.0025 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-005 L1: Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Provi… YES 0.0395 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-005 L2: Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Pr… NO 0.35 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-006 L1: Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 202… YES 0.04 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-007 L1: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate … YES 0.0285 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-008 L1: Will the Republicans win the Michigan gover… YES 0.195 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-009 L1: Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin gove… YES 0.155 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-010 L2: Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democrati… NO 0.535 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-011 L1: Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2… YES 0.0175 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-012 L2: Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon G… NO 0.465 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-014 L2: Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska … NO 0.3 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-015 L2: Will Trump and Putin not meet? NO 0.651 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-016 L1: Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the S… YES 0.0005 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-017 L2: Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to betwe… NO 0.422 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-018 L1: Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of App… YES 0.075 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM Cross-Mkt CM-020 L2: Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma … NO 0.57 $10.0 2026-02-27 21:10
CM Cross-Mkt CM-021 L1: Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peac… YES 0.0035 $10.0 2026-02-28 09:09
CM Cross-Mkt CM-022 L1: Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 20… YES 0.033 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM Cross-Mkt CM-023 L1: Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Gover… YES 0.0305 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM Cross-Mkt CM-024 L1: Will Amazon be the largest company in the w… YES 0.0025 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM Cross-Mkt CM-026 L2: Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? NO 0.327 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM Cross-Mkt CM-027 L1: Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Bad… YES 0.0005 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM Cross-Mkt CM-028 L2: No one announced as next James Bond? NO 0.55 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM Cross-Mkt CM-029 L2: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime M… NO 0.615 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM Cross-Mkt CM-030 L1: Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greate… YES 0.0255 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM Cross-Mkt CM-031 L1: Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? YES 0.0015 $10.0 2026-02-28 17:09
CM Cross-Mkt CM-032 L2: Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacif… NO 0.495 $10.0 2026-02-28 19:09
CM Cross-Mkt CM-033 L2: Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Ba… NO 0.86 $10.0 2026-02-28 19:09
CM Cross-Mkt CM-034 L1: Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee f… YES 0.0005 $10.0 2026-02-28 19:09
CM Cross-Mkt CM-035 L1: Will Nottm Forest finish in 2nd place in th… YES 0.0005 $10.0 2026-02-28 20:36
CM Cross-Mkt CM-036 L2: Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic … NO 0.605 $10.0 2026-02-28 20:36
CM Cross-Mkt CM-037 L2: Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s… NO 0.42 $10.0 2026-02-28 21:09
CM Cross-Mkt CM-038 L1: Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on J… YES 0.0185 $10.0 2026-02-28 21:09
CM Cross-Mkt CM-039 L1: Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie… YES 0.0005 $10.0 2026-02-28 23:09
CM Cross-Mkt CM-040 L2: Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NB… NO 0.445 $10.0 2026-02-28 23:09
CM Cross-Mkt CM-041 L1: Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Ark… YES 0.0715 $10.0 2026-03-01 03:09
Manual/Legacy will-italy-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup YES 0.625 0.625 $0.00 $200 2026-02-24 21:28
Manual/Legacy will-sweden-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup YES 0.27 0.295 +$9.26 $100.0 2026-02-25 09:15
Manual/Legacy will-ukraine-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup YES 0.29 0.325 +$12.07 $100.0 2026-02-25 09:15

📜 Recent Trades

StrategyMarketSideEntryPnLStatusTime
Mention Arb ? YES 0.495 +$5.10 resolved ?
1B Momentum btc-updown-15m-1772336700 DOWN 0.885 +$0.65 resolved 2026-03-01T03:57:21
1B Momentum btc-updown-15m-1772330400 UP 0.835 +$0.99 resolved 2026-03-01T02:12:58
1B Momentum btc-updown-15m-1772326800 DOWN 0.865 +$0.78 resolved 2026-03-01T01:11:21
1B Momentum btc-updown-15m-1772308800 UP 0.815 +$1.13 resolved 2026-02-28T20:14:01
CAL-M4: Sports Favorites nba-dal-mil-2026-01-25-total-218pt5 YES 0.43 +$0.02 CLOSED 2026-02-28T18:01:05
1B Momentum bitcoin-up-or-down-february-28-8am-et UP 0.815 +$1.13 resolved 2026-02-28T13:48:43
1B Momentum btc-updown-15m-1772271000 DOWN 0.895 +$0.59 resolved 2026-02-28T09:41:21
1B Momentum btc-updown-15m-1772270100 UP 0.845 +$0.92 resolved 2026-02-28T09:26:16
1B Momentum bitcoin-up-or-down-february-28-3am-et DOWN 0.835 +$0.99 resolved 2026-02-28T08:52:21
CM Cross-Mkt ? ? ? +$3.25 CLOSED 2026-02-27T20:29:29
Mention Arb will-trump-say-transgender-this-week-march-1 YES 0.37 +$85.14 CLOSED 2026-02-25T23:15:07
Mention Arb will-trump-say-barack-hussein-obama-this-week-march-1 YES 0.245 +$154.08 CLOSED 2026-02-25T23:15:07

🔧 Infrastructure

ServiceStatusLast Activity
🟢 OpenClaw Gateway active eb_search: no provider configured, auto-detected "brave" from available API keys
🟢 Crypto Collector active ed markets from API, checking against 2784 known markets (1108 already resolved)
🟢 Strategy 1B Bot active 0:00 srv1356548 python3[90420]: [2026-03-01T05:30:29Z] BTC $67,499.99 (ws_relay)
🟢 Strategy 4 Bot active 03-01T04:57:19+00:00 srv1356548 strategy4[103733]: Sleeping 4h until next run...
🟢 BTC WebSocket Relay active 3-01 05:30:03] STATUS: 61 msgs in 61s (1.0/s) | reconnects=0 | source=binance_ws
🟢 Chrome Browser active ent.cc:36] Unexpected on_device_model service disconnect: Error loading backend.
🔴 Hype Monitor (4h) inactive 6548 systemd[1799]: Stopped hype-monitor.timer - Run hype monitor every 4 hours.
🟢 Mention Arb (6h) active temd[1799]: Started mention-arb.timer - Run mention arbitrage bot every 6 hours.
🟢 Nightly Consolidation active rted nightly-consolidation.timer - Nightly knowledge consolidation at 03:00 UTC.
🔴 NM Scanner (4h) inactive pped new-market.timer - Run Strategy NM new market mispricing bot every 4 hours.
🟢 Political Scorer (4h) active 9]: Started political-scorer.timer - Run Political Scoring Engine every 4 hours.
🔴 PR Bot (1h) inactive 99]: Stopped political-pr.timer - Run PR Bot (Political Reversion) every 1 hour.
🔴 PF Bot (4h) inactive f.timer - Run PF Bot (Political Fundamentals) every 4 hours (5min after scorer).
🟢 Dashboard Deploy (30m) active systemd[1799]: Started dashboard.timer - Regenerate dashboard every 30 minutes.
🟢 Daily CEO Report (07:00) active d[1799]: Started daily-report.timer - Daily CEO report at 07:00 UTC (08:00 CET).
🟢 Position Monitor (15m) active ystemd[1799]: Started position-monitor.timer - Check positions every 15 minutes.

🔍 Watchdog

✅ OK Last check: 2026-03-01 05:30:14 UTC Duration: 294ms
CheckStatusDetails
🟢 services OK
🟢 timers OK
🟢 freshness OK
🟢 integrity OK
🟢 cadence OK
🟢 dashboard OK
🟢 memory OK

🗄️ Archived / Killed Strategies

StatusStrategyTradesClosedWRPnL
ARCHIVED Strategy 1B v2 (no max entry)
25/25 WR but avg entry 94.7¢ = BE WR 95%. Capped at 0.95 in v3.
25 25 100.0% +$7.41
ARCHIVED Strategy 1B v1 (pre-bugfix)
No min entry, dupes allowed, 5m enabled. 14 neutral exits from bad entries.
26 26 46.2% +$7.84
KILLED Strategy A — 90¢+ Scalper
Killed Feb 26. Correct thesis, wrong infra. Sub-second execution needed.
4 4 100.0% +$1.09
KILLED Strategy C — Catalyst Calendar
Killed by backtest. No pre-catalyst drift — markets move ON event day, not before.
0 0 $0.00
KILLED Strategy B — Distribution Sniper
Killed — only 2 multi-bucket markets in 25K dataset. No data to backtest.
0 0 $0.00
KILLED Strategy RC — Resolution Classifier
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). 0% WR on 3 closed trades. Data leakage in backtest.
32 32 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy PR — Political Reversion
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Reversion is 97-99% informed convergence, not noise.
14 14 21.4% +$0.80
KILLED Strategy PF — Political Fundamentals
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
7 7 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy UR — Universal Reversion
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Broad reversion dead — 97-99% informed moves.
25 25 12.0% -$0.46
KILLED Strategy NM — Base Rate Divergence
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
18 18 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy FF — Favorite Fade
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
8 8 0.0% $0.00