🦞 Drex Capital β€” Operations Dashboard

Generated 2026-03-07 08:01:30 UTC Β· All data read directly from bot output files Β· PAPER MODE

179
Total Trades
58
Open Positions
121
Closed
89.3%
WR (v-filtered)
$1539.09
Realized PnL
$1344.59
Unrealized PnL
$2975
Capital Deployed

πŸ“Š Strategy Performance

StatusStrategyTradesOpenClosedWRR:REV/TradePnLLast TradeData Age
PAPER Strategy CM β€” Cross-Market Arb
Finds logically impossible price combinations across 5,000+ markets. Bets on guaranteed correction.
7 4 3 100.0% (WR (v9)) β€” $1.8500 +$5.55 2026-03-05 17:09 17h 4m ago
PAPER Strategy 1B β€” BTC Momentum
BTC Up/Down 15m/1h/4h. Entry 0.80-0.95. BE WR: ~85% at sweet spot.
73 0 73 91.8% (WR (all versions)) 0.28 $0.5393 +$39.37 2026-03-07 06:27 1h 27m ago
PAPER Strategy 4 β€” Hype Reversion
Buys NO on YES price spikes. Sells hype. Geo filters + crisis regime.
10 1 9 88.9% (WR (v6)) 0.11 $-0.0323 -$0.29 2026-03-06 16:21 43m ago
PAPER Event Clusters
43 30 13 100.0% (WR) β€” $1.3536 +$17.60 2026-03-07 04:30 3h 30m ago
PAPER Fear Fade (FF2)
Geopolitical/military/catastrophe fear spikes fade on unlikely events. Buy NO when YES < 20%.
15 2 13 53.8% (WR (v1)) β€” $0.2249 +$2.92 2026-03-07 08:00 just now
PAPER CG-TT: Trump Triggers
Event-driven: Trump actions trigger connected market mispricings.
23 14 9 100.0% (WR (v1)) β€” $160.0222 +$1440.20 2026-03-07 01:45 6h 15m ago
PAPER CG-GEO: Geopolitical Chains
Event-driven: geopolitical events trigger connected market mispricings.
2 1 1 100.0% (WR (v1)) β€” $33.7400 +$33.74 2026-03-05 19:31 6h 15m ago
PAPER CG-POL: Political Cascades
Event-driven: political events trigger connected election/policy market mispricings.
2 2 0 β€” β€” β€” $0.00 2026-03-04 22:31 6h 15m ago

πŸ€– Team

πŸ‘” Management

AgentRoleModelStatus
BobCOO β€” Orchestration & Delegationclaude-opus-4-6Active
ElonCTO β€” Engineering (Ralph loops)claude-sonnet-4-6On-demand
QuantDiscovery & Pattern Recognitionclaude-opus-4-6On-demand
AnalystResearch & Validationclaude-sonnet-4-6On-demand

πŸ€– Automated Bots

BotStrategyFrequencyStatus
πŸ”΄ Cross Market BotCMEvery 2h (cross-market.timer)inactive
🟒 Strategy1B Bot1BContinuous long-running serviceactive
🟒 Strategy4 BotS4Hype monitor: every 4hactive
πŸ”΄ Cluster Runner BotECPβ€”inactive
πŸ”΄ Fear Fade BotFF2Every 2h (fear-fade.timer)inactive
πŸ”΄ Causal Graph Engine BotCG-TTEvery 15min (causal-graph.timer)inactive
πŸ”΄ Causal Graph Engine BotCG-GEO, CG-POLEvery 15min (causal-graph.timer)inactive

πŸ—οΈ Infrastructure

ServicePurposeStatus
🟒 Strategy EngineValidate + Discover (4h)active
🟒 WatchdogHealth checks (15m)active
🟒 BTC WS RelayBTC price feedactive
🟒 Polymarket WS RelayMarket pricesactive
🟒 Crypto CollectorBTC market dataactive
🟒 DashboardAuto-deploy (30m)active
🟒 Auto BackupGit push (6h)active

πŸ“ Open Positions (58)

StrategyMarketSideEntryNowUnreal. PnLSizeOpened
CM CM-001 L1: US recession by end of 2026? YES 0.23 0.330 +$4.35 $10.0 2026-03-04 11:10
CM CM-002 L1: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YES 0.235 0.305 +$2.98 $10.0 2026-03-04 11:10
CM CM-003 L1: Iran nuclear test before 2027? YES 0.12 0.140 +$1.67 $10.0 2026-03-04 11:10
CM CM-007 L1: U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? YES 0.29 0.255 -$1.21 $10.0 2026-03-05 17:09
S4 Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? NO 0.86 0.145 -$0.03 $5.0 2026-03-02 00:09
S4 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? NO 0.9305 0.062 +$0.04 $5.0 2026-03-02 11:10
S4 Deel IPO before 2027? NO 0.87 0.195 -$0.37 $5.0 2026-03-03 08:43
S4 Will France win Eurovision 2026? NO 0.857 0.147 -$0.02 $5.0 2026-03-06 16:21
ECP Will Jean Philippe Krasso be the top goal scorer in th… NO 0.702 0.154 +$1.02 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina T… NO 0.4955 0.482 +$0.23 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the … NO 0.2 0.825 -$0.62 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 20… NO 0.706 0.337 -$0.30 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Mem… NO 0.05 0.935 +$1.50 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal score… NO 0.31 0.650 +$0.65 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made… NO 0.79 0.260 -$0.32 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 202… NO 0.235 0.795 -$0.64 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved P… NO 0.4895 0.528 -$0.18 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best re… NO 0.38 0.702 -$1.07 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for S… NO 0.195 0.790 +$0.38 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 20… NO 0.105 0.825 +$3.33 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:47
ECP Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2… NO 0.21 0.780 +$0.24 $5.0 2026-03-02 22:30
ECP Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Tro… NO 0.515 0.505 -$0.19 $5.0 2026-03-03 00:31
ECP Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2… NO 0.73 0.270 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-03 06:30
ECP Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Y… NO 0.542 0.530 -$0.67 $5.0 2026-03-06 16:31
ECP Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in… NO 0.14 0.900 -$1.43 $5.0 2026-03-03 14:31
ECP Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'R… NO 0.337 0.680 -$0.26 $5.0 2026-03-03 18:30
ECP Will Galatasaray win the SΓΌper Lig? NO 0.295 0.715 -$0.17 $5.0 2026-03-03 20:30
ECP Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy? NO 0.6185 0.385 -$0.02 $5.0 2026-03-04 18:30
ECP Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the… NO 0.265 0.720 +$0.28 $5.0 2026-03-04 20:30
ECP Will IvΓ‘n Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 … NO 0.305 0.675 +$0.33 $5.0 2026-03-04 22:31
ECP Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made d… NO 0.8295 0.327 -$0.94 $5.0 2026-03-05 02:31
ECP Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate … NO 0.315 0.760 -$1.19 $5.0 2026-03-05 02:31
ECP Will Jon Cooper win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award? NO 0.4465 0.424 +$1.44 $5.0 2026-03-05 20:31
ECP Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award? NO 0.6 0.438 -$0.32 $5.0 2026-03-05 20:31
ECP Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division? NO 0.1535 0.910 -$2.07 $5.0 2026-03-06 08:31
ECP Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2… NO 0.85 0.150 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-06 16:31
ECP Will Emanuel Emegha be the top goal scorer in the 2025… NO 0.7995 0.158 +$0.27 $5.0 2026-03-07 04:30
ECP Will Mika Biereth be the top goal scorer in the 2025-2… NO 0.8 0.117 +$0.52 $5.0 2026-03-07 04:30
FF2 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2… NO 0.87 0.075 +$0.32 $5.0 2026-03-03 04:43
FF2 Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? NO 0.8605 0.129 +$0.06 $5.0 2026-03-05 06:01
FF2 Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026? NO 0.914 0.086 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-07 08:00
CG-TT Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the… YES 0.425 0.456 +$7.18 $100 2026-03-04 01:00
CG-TT Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8) YES 0.175 0.150 -$28.57 $200 2026-03-03 20:38
CG-TT Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 8) YES 0.375 0.275 -$53.33 $200 2026-03-05 06:15
CG-TT US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? YES 0.215 0.215 $0.00 $50 2026-03-05 20:12
CG-TT Will Trump say "BRICS" this week? (March 8) YES 0.08 0.270 +$475.00 $200 2026-03-05 21:01
CG-TT Will Trump say "Hang" or "Hanging" this week? (March 8) YES 0.08 0.340 +$650.00 $200 2026-03-06 02:46
CG-TT Will Trump say "IQ" this week? (March 8) YES 0.435 0.275 -$73.56 $200 2026-03-06 05:16
CG-TT Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (M… YES 0.445 0.415 -$13.48 $200 2026-03-06 14:15
CG-TT Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (March 8) YES 0.27 0.610 +$251.85 $200 2026-03-06 16:30
CG-TT Will Trump say "Witch hunt" this week? (March 8) YES 0.37 0.325 -$12.16 $100 2026-03-06 20:15
CG-TT Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" this week? (March … YES 0.265 0.255 -$7.55 $200 2026-03-06 21:30
CG-TT Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" this week? (March … YES 0.43 0.580 +$69.77 $200 2026-03-06 22:00
CG-TT Will Trump say "Hang" or "Hanging" this week? (March 1… YES 0.42 0.455 +$16.67 $200 2026-03-07 00:30
CG-TT Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (March 15) YES 0.445 0.455 +$4.49 $200 2026-03-07 01:45
CG-GEO US recession by end of 2026? YES 0.23 0.330 +$43.48 $100 2026-03-03 20:06
CG-POL Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential n… YES 0.4175 0.416 -$0.36 $100 2026-03-04 16:15
CG-POL 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House YES 0.395 0.425 +$7.59 $100 2026-03-04 22:31
Page 1 of 1

πŸ“œ Recent Trades

StrategyMarketSideEntryPnLStatusTime
1B btc-updown-15m-1772864100 YES 0.835 +$0.99 resolved 2026-03-07T06:27:32
1B btc-updown-15m-1772862300 YES 0.825 +$1.06 resolved 2026-03-07T05:58:27
1B btc-updown-15m-1772836200 YES 0.895 +$0.59 resolved 2026-03-06T22:43:05
1B btc-updown-15m-1772832600 YES 0.865 +$0.78 resolved 2026-03-06T21:41:24
1B btc-updown-15m-1772831700 YES 0.825 +$1.06 resolved 2026-03-06T21:26:35
FF2 NATO article 5 before 2027? NO 0.845 $0.00 CLOSED 2026-03-06T18:01:32
1B btc-updown-15m-1772819100 YES 0.875 -$1.97 early_exit 2026-03-06T17:56:22
1B bitcoin-up-or-down-march-6-9am-et YES 0.83 +$1.02 resolved 2026-03-06T14:48:38
ECP Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of … NO 0.6995 +$0.47 CLOSED 2026-03-06T14:31:50
1B btc-updown-15m-1772804700 YES 0.845 +$0.92 resolved 2026-03-06T13:57:17
FF2 Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? NO 0.8125 +$1.11 CLOSED 2026-03-06T12:01:08
FF2 Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? NO 0.8125 +$0.14 CLOSED 2026-03-06T08:01:55
CG-TT Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (M… YES 0.45 +$55.56 CLOSED 2026-03-06T07:31:06
FF2 Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? NO 0.803 $0.00 CLOSED 2026-03-06T06:01:40
ECP Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–… NO 0.0995 +$3.72 CLOSED 2026-03-06T04:30:57
CG-TT Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8) YES 0.3 +$236.67 CLOSED 2026-03-06T01:31:06
ECP Will Jared Bednar win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Awa… NO 0.903 +$0.19 CLOSED 2026-03-05T22:31:06
FF2 Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? NO 0.8125 $0.00 CLOSED 2026-03-05T22:01:03
CG-TT Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Ir… NO 0.4295 +$16.41 CLOSED 2026-03-05T20:12:22
CG-GEO Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? YES 0.732 +$33.74 CLOSED 2026-03-05T19:31:00
FF2 NATO article 5 before 2027? NO 0.835 +$0.30 CLOSED 2026-03-05T16:01:41
CM will-fomo-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026 YES 0.24 +$1.50 CLOSED 2026-03-05T15:09:47
ECP Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during th… NO 0.795 +$0.17 CLOSED 2026-03-05T14:31:00
FF2 NATO article 5 before 2027? NO 0.835 +$0.12 CLOSED 2026-03-05T14:01:16
FF2 NATO Article 5 by March 31? NO 0.8435 +$0.92 CLOSED 2026-03-05T14:01:16

πŸ”§ Infrastructure

ServiceStatusLast Activity
🟒 OpenClaw Gateway active 2026-03-07T07:49:17.052Z [telegram] sendMessage ok chat=1552659199 message=3349
🟒 BTC WebSocket Relay active 3-07 08:01:18] STATUS: 61 msgs in 61s (1.0/s) | reconnects=1 | source=binance_ws
🟒 Crypto Collector active 548 python3[58829]: [2026-03-07T08:00:36Z] Pruned 1 resolved markets from memory
🟒 Chrome Browser active gine/connection_factory_impl.cc:483] ConnectionHandler failed with net error: -2
πŸ”΄ Strategy CM β€” Cross-Market Arb Bot inactive d[1799]: cross-market.service: Consumed 7min 54.522s CPU time, 1.7G memory peak.
🟒 Strategy 1B β€” BTC Momentum Bot active :00 srv1356548 python3[207188]: [2026-03-07T08:01:29Z] BTC $67,809.46 (ws_relay)
🟒 Strategy 4 β€” Hype Reversion Bot active 03-07T04:21:29+00:00 srv1356548 strategy4[273062]: Sleeping 4h until next run...
πŸ”΄ Event Clusters Bot inactive ter-runner.service - Drex Capital β€” Strategy ECP Event Cluster Portfolio Runner.
πŸ”΄ Fear Fade (FF2) Bot inactive 48 systemd[1799]: fear-fade.service: Consumed 540ms CPU time, 73.5M memory peak.
πŸ”΄ CG-TT: Trump Triggers Bot inactive temd[1799]: Finished cg-tt.service - Drex Capital β€” CG-TT Trump Trigger Scanner.
πŸ”΄ CG-GEO: Geopolitical Chains Bot inactive e - Drex Capital β€” Causal Graph Engine (CG) β€” Event-Driven Cross-Market Trading.
🟒 Dashboard Deploy (30m) active -- No entries --
🟒 Position Monitor (15m) active ystemd[1799]: Started position-monitor.timer - Check positions every 15 minutes.
🟒 Watchdog (15m) active -- No entries --
🟒 Resolution Checker (6h) active arted resolution-checker.timer - Run Universal Resolution Checker every 6 hours.
🟒 Strategy Engine (4h) active [1799]: Started strategy-engine.timer - Drex Capital Strategy Engine β€” every 4h.
🟒 Strategy Evaluator (6h) active 56548 systemd[1799]: Started strategy-evaluator.timer - Strategy Evaluator (6h).
🟒 Signal Scanner (5h) active Started signal-scanner.timer - Drex Capital Signal Scanner β€” runs every 4 hours.
🟒 Market Intelligence (1h) active [1799]: Started market-intelligence.timer - Market Intelligence Scanner (30min).
🟒 Price Collector (5h) active tarted price-collector.timer - Drex Capital β€” Run price collector every 4 hours.
🟒 Backfill Resolutions (1h) active -- No entries --
🟒 Auto Backup (7h) active 1356548 systemd[1799]: Started auto-backup.timer - Auto backup timer (every 6h).
🟒 System Health (5h) active 9]: Started system-health.timer - Drex Capital β€” System Health Check (every 4h).
🟒 Daily CEO Report (07:00) active -- No entries --
🟒 Nightly Consolidation active -- No entries --
🟒 Memory Consolidator active -- No entries --
🟒 Data Rotation active Started data-rotation.timer - Run Data Retention Rotation nightly at 03:30 UTC.
🟒 Strategy CM β€” Cross-Market Arb (Every 2h (cross-market.timer)) active d cross-market.timer - Run Cross-Market Consistency Arbitrage bot every 2 hours.
🟒 Event Clusters active d cluster-runner.timer - Run Event Cluster Portfolio (ECP) runner every 2 hours.
🟒 Fear Fade (FF2) (Every 2h (fear-fade.timer)) active stemd[1799]: Started fear-fade.timer - Run FF2 Fear Fade strategy every 2 hours.
🟒 CG-TT: Trump Triggers (Every 15min (causal-graph.timer)) active d[1799]: Started cg-tt.timer - Run CG-TT Trump Trigger Scanner every 15 minutes.
🟒 CG-GEO: Geopolitical Chains (Every 15min (causal-graph.timer)) active md[1799]: Started causal-graph.timer - Run Causal Graph Engine every 15 minutes.

πŸ” Watchdog

βœ… OK Last check: 2026-03-07 08:00:57 UTC Duration: 364ms
CheckStatusDetails
🟒 services OK β€”
🟒 timers OK β€”
🟒 freshness OK β€”
🟒 cadence OK β€”
🟒 memory OK β€”

πŸ—„οΈ Archived / Killed Strategies

StatusStrategyTradesClosedWRPnL
KILLED CAL-M1: Fade Favorites
Buy NO on overpriced favorites (crypto >60Β’, politics/econ >80-85Β’).
27 27 14.8% -$20.04
KILLED CAL-M2: Trump Longshots
Buy YES on Trump longshot markets (20-40Β’ range).
27 27 14.8% -$20.04
KILLED CAL-M3: Falling Favorites
Buy NO on favorites with downward price momentum.
27 27 14.8% -$20.04
KILLED CAL-M4: Sports Favorites
Sports market favorites β€” fading overpriced YES/NO outcomes.
27 27 14.8% -$20.04
KILLED Time Decay Sniper
Near-certainty mispricing near expiry. 95%+ WR backtest. Crypto micro-markets excluded.
26 26 34.6% -$2.62
KILLED Mention Arbitrage
Buys YES on mention markets with high evidence scores.
19 19 10.5% +$239.22
KILLED Sports Overround Scanner
Sports overround execution bot. Scanner detects mispriced events; bot fades overpriced YES outcomes by buying NO.
0 0 β€” $0.00
ARCHIVED Strategy 1B v2 (no max entry)
25/25 WR but avg entry 94.7Β’ = BE WR 95%. Capped at 0.95 in v3.
0 0 β€” $0.00
ARCHIVED Strategy 1B v1 (pre-bugfix)
No min entry, dupes allowed, 5m enabled. 14 neutral exits from bad entries.
0 0 β€” $0.00
KILLED Strategy A β€” 90Β’+ Scalper
Killed Feb 26. Correct thesis, wrong infra. Sub-second execution needed.
4 4 100.0% +$1.09
KILLED Strategy C β€” Catalyst Calendar
Killed by backtest. No pre-catalyst drift β€” markets move ON event day, not before.
0 0 β€” $0.00
KILLED Strategy B β€” Distribution Sniper
Killed β€” only 2 multi-bucket markets in 25K dataset. No data to backtest.
0 0 β€” $0.00
KILLED Strategy RC β€” Resolution Classifier
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). 0% WR on 3 closed trades. Data leakage in backtest.
32 32 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy PR β€” Political Reversion
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Reversion is 97-99% informed convergence, not noise.
14 14 21.4% +$0.80
KILLED Strategy PF β€” Political Fundamentals
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
7 7 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy UR β€” Universal Reversion
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Broad reversion dead β€” 97-99% informed moves.
25 25 12.0% -$0.46
KILLED Strategy NM β€” New Market Mispricing
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
18 18 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy FF β€” Favorite Fade
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
8 8 0.0% $0.00
ARCHIVED Info Velocity
1 1 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Political Macro
11 11 0.0% $0.00
ARCHIVED Cross-Platform Arb
5 5 0.0% $0.00