Generated 2026-03-02 19:58:10 UTC · All data read directly from bot output files · PAPER MODE
| Status | Strategy | Trades | Open | Closed | WR | R:R | EV/Trade | PnL | Last Trade | Data Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAPER | CAL-M1: Fade Favorites Buy NO on overpriced favorites (crypto >60¢, politics/econ >80-85¢). |
13 | 12 | 1 | 0.0% (WR (all versions)) | — | $-5.0000 | -$5.00 | 2026-03-02 16:00 | 1h 56m ago |
| PAPER | CAL-M2: Trump Longshots Buy YES on Trump longshot markets (20-40¢ range). |
1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-28 20:00 | 1h 56m ago |
| PAPER | CAL-M3: Falling Favorites Buy NO on favorites with downward price momentum. |
1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-28 16:26 | 1h 56m ago |
| PAPER | CAL-M4: Sports Favorites Sports market favorites — fading overpriced YES/NO outcomes. |
5 | 3 | 2 | 50.0% (WR (all versions)) | — | $0.0087 | +$0.02 | 2026-03-02 18:01 | 1h 56m ago |
| PAPER | Time Decay Sniper Near-certainty mispricing near expiry. 95%+ WR backtest. Crypto micro-markets excluded. |
25 | 16 | 9 | 77.8% (WR (all versions)) | 0.11 | $-0.2179 | -$1.96 | — | 13h 27m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy CM — Cross-Market Arb Finds logically impossible price combinations across 5,000+ markets. Bets on guaranteed correction. |
55 | 51 | 4 | 100.0% (WR (all versions)) | — | $3.3300 | +$13.32 | 2026-03-02 17:10 | 2h 48m ago |
| PAPER | Mention Arbitrage Buys YES on mention markets with high evidence scores. |
20 | 17 | 3 | 100.0% (WR (all versions)) | — | $81.4400 | +$244.32 | 2026-03-02 13:01 | 6h 56m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy 1B — BTC Momentum BTC Up/Down 15m/1h/4h. Entry 0.80-0.95. BE WR: ~85% at sweet spot. |
11 | 0 | 11 | 100.0% (WR (v6)) | — | $0.8118 | +$8.93 | 2026-03-02 16:56 | 2h 53m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy 4 — Hype Reversion Buys NO on YES price spikes. Sells hype. Geo filters + crisis regime. |
35 | 23 | 12 | 100.0% (WR (all versions)) | — | $0.2250 | +$2.70 | 2026-03-02 16:43 | 3h 14m ago |
| PAPER | Sports Overround Scanner Sports overround execution bot. Scanner detects mispriced events; bot fades overpriced YES outcomes |
0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | — | 1d ago |
| Agent | Role | Model | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bob | COO — Orchestration & Delegation | claude-opus-4-6 | Active |
| Elon | CTO — Engineering (Ralph loops) | claude-sonnet-4-6 | On-demand |
| Analyst | Research & Validation | claude-sonnet-4-6 | On-demand |
| Bot | Strategy | Frequency | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 Calibration Bot | CAL-M1, CAL-M2, CAL-M3 +1 | Every 2h (calibration.timer) | active |
| 🟢 Time Decay Bot | TD | Every 2h (time-decay.timer) | active |
| 🟢 Cross Market Bot | CM | Every 2h (cross-market.timer) | active |
| 🟢 Mention Arb Bot | MA | Every 6h (mention-arb.timer) | active |
| 🟢 Strategy1B Bot | 1B | Continuous long-running service | active |
| 🟢 Strategy4 Bot | S4 | Hype monitor: every 4h | active |
| 🟢 Sports Odds Bot | Sports | Every 4h (sports-odds.timer) | active |
| Service | Purpose | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 🟢 Strategy Engine | Referee + Scout (4h) | active |
| 🟢 System Health | 19-check watchdog (15m) | active |
| 🟢 WS Relay | BTC price feed | active |
| 🟢 Price Collector | Market snapshots (4h) | active |
| 🟢 Auto Backup | Git push (6h) | active |
| Strategy | Market | Side | Entry | Now | Unreal. PnL | Size | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAL-M1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3? | NO | 0.0935 | 0.994 | -$4.65 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CAL-M1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3? | NO | 0.105 | 0.989 | -$4.45 | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 10:01 |
CAL-M1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3? | NO | 0.23 | 0.979 | -$4.54 | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 10:01 |
CAL-M1 |
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026? | NO | 0.015 | 0.987 | -$0.67 | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 13:52 |
CAL-M1 |
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by Decem… | NO | 0.1345 | 0.859 | +$0.24 | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 13:52 |
CAL-M1 |
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? | NO | 0.17 | 0.991 | -$4.72 | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 16:00 |
CAL-M1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3? | NO | 0.0185 | 0.997 | -$4.05 | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 20:01 |
CAL-M1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3? | NO | 0.0145 | 1.000 | -$4.83 | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 22:01 |
CAL-M1 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase… | NO | 0.1 | 0.885 | +$0.75 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 14:00 |
CAL-M1 |
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local gover… | NO | 0.12 | 0.880 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 14:00 |
CAL-M1 |
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senat… | NO | 0.038 | 0.964 | -$0.26 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 16:00 |
CAL-M1 |
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most… | NO | 0.085 | 0.915 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 16:00 |
CAL-M2 |
Trump declares election interference national emergenc… | YES | 0.315 | 0.330 | +$0.24 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
CAL-M3 |
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | NO | 0.155 | 0.800 | +$1.45 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 16:26 |
CAL-M4 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best re… | YES | 0.644 | 0.623 | -$0.16 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 17:08 |
CAL-M4 |
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs? | YES | 0.525 | 0.525 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 18:01 |
CAL-M4 |
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Ye… | YES | 0.413 | 0.464 | +$0.62 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 18:01 |
TD |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | NO | 0.81 | 0.160 | +$0.19 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Cham… | NO | 0.85 | 0.105 | +$0.26 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Ac… | NO | 0.95 | 0.052 | -$0.01 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Ac… | NO | 0.94 | 0.050 | +$0.05 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academ… | NO | 0.93 | 0.054 | +$0.09 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy… | NO | 0.928 | 0.050 | +$0.12 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98t… | NO | 0.916 | 0.058 | +$0.14 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Acad… | NO | 0.89 | 0.055 | +$0.31 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th … | NO | 0.872 | 0.117 | +$0.06 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th A… | NO | 0.867 | 0.138 | -$0.03 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awar… | NO | 0.85 | 0.136 | +$0.09 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Acade… | NO | 0.83 | 0.165 | +$0.03 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 9… | NO | 0.798 | 0.236 | -$0.22 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at th… | NO | 0.76 | 0.130 | +$0.72 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98… | NO | 0.95 | 0.058 | -$0.04 | $5.0 | ? |
TD |
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy A… | NO | 0.946 | 0.067 | -$0.07 | $5.0 | ? |
CM |
CM-001 L1: Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Pro… | YES | 0.0035 | 0.002 | -$4.29 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-001 L2: Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Provi… | NO | 0.528 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-002 L2: Will Arizona win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's… | NO | 0.75 | 0.935 | -$9.13 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-003 L1: Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bis… | YES | 0.0055 | 0.007 | +$3.64 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-004 L1: Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize i… | YES | 0.0025 | 0.006 | +$14.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-005 L1: Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Provi… | YES | 0.0395 | 0.035 | -$1.27 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-005 L2: Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Pr… | NO | 0.35 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-006 L1: Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 202… | YES | 0.04 | 0.004 | -$8.88 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-007 L1: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate … | YES | 0.0285 | 0.028 | -$0.18 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-008 L1: Will the Republicans win the Michigan gover… | YES | 0.195 | 0.195 | $0.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-009 L1: Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin gove… | YES | 0.155 | 0.190 | +$2.26 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-010 L2: Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democrati… | NO | 0.535 | 0.650 | -$3.46 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-011 L1: Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2… | YES | 0.0175 | 0.019 | +$0.86 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-012 L2: Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon G… | NO | 0.465 | 0.390 | +$3.12 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-014 L2: Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska … | NO | 0.3 | 0.250 | +$15.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-015 L2: Will Trump and Putin not meet? | NO | 0.651 | 0.626 | -$4.26 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-016 L1: Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the S… | YES | 0.0005 | 0.001 | $0.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-017 L2: Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to betwe… | NO | 0.422 | 0.278 | +$7.11 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-018 L1: Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of App… | YES | 0.075 | 0.085 | +$1.33 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM |
CM-020 L2: Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma … | NO | 0.57 | 0.510 | -$1.40 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 21:10 |
CM |
CM-021 L1: Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peac… | YES | 0.0035 | 0.007 | +$10.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 09:09 |
CM |
CM-022 L1: Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 20… | YES | 0.033 | 0.032 | -$0.45 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM |
CM-023 L1: Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Gover… | YES | 0.0305 | 0.024 | -$2.30 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM |
CM-024 L1: Will Amazon be the largest company in the w… | YES | 0.0025 | 0.003 | $0.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM |
CM-026 L2: Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | NO | 0.327 | 0.085 | +$17.98 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM |
CM-027 L1: Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Bad… | YES | 0.0005 | 0.001 | $0.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM |
CM-028 L2: No one announced as next James Bond? | NO | 0.55 | 0.525 | -$1.36 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM |
CM-029 L2: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime M… | NO | 0.615 | 0.625 | -$3.90 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM |
CM-030 L1: Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greate… | YES | 0.0255 | 0.035 | +$3.92 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM |
CM-031 L1: Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? | YES | 0.0015 | 0.009 | +$53.33 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
CM |
CM-032 L2: Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacif… | NO | 0.495 | 0.470 | +$0.71 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
CM |
CM-033 L2: Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Ba… | NO | 0.86 | 0.965 | -$9.59 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
CM |
CM-034 L1: Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee f… | YES | 0.0005 | 0.001 | $0.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
CM |
CM-036 L2: Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic … | NO | 0.605 | 0.670 | -$4.55 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 20:36 |
CM |
CM-037 L2: Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s… | NO | 0.42 | 0.695 | -$2.74 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 21:09 |
CM |
CM-038 L1: Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on J… | YES | 0.0185 | 0.018 | -$0.27 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 21:09 |
CM |
CM-039 L1: Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie… | YES | 0.0005 | 0.001 | $0.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
CM |
CM-040 L2: Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NB… | NO | 0.445 | 0.285 | +$6.07 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
CM |
CM-041 L1: Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Ark… | YES | 0.0715 | 0.033 | -$5.45 | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 03:09 |
CM |
CM-042 L1: Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | YES | 0.005 | 0.006 | +$2.00 | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 07:09 |
CM |
CM-043 L2: Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions Leag… | NO | 0.265 | 0.265 | +$17.74 | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 07:09 |
CM |
CM-045 L1: Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | YES | 0.0025 | 0.004 | +$6.00 | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 11:09 |
CM |
CM-046 L2: Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no pr… | NO | 0.3 | 0.281 | +$13.98 | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 11:09 |
CM |
CM-047 L1: Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bo… | YES | 0.0015 | 0.025 | +$160.00 | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 13:10 |
CM |
CM-048 L1: Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayor… | YES | 0.0005 | 0.002 | +$20.00 | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 15:11 |
CM |
CM-049 L1: Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple? | YES | 0.0745 | 0.116 | +$5.57 | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 17:10 |
CM |
CM-050 L1: Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? | YES | 0.0015 | 0.005 | +$26.67 | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 17:10 |
CM |
CM-051 L1: Will the US strike 15 or more countries in … | YES | 0.008 | 0.009 | +$1.88 | $10.0 | 2026-03-02 01:10 |
CM |
CM-053 L2: Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actres… | NO | 0.422 | 0.421 | +$3.72 | $10.0 | 2026-03-02 03:09 |
CM |
CM-054 L1: Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th… | YES | 0.0265 | 0.028 | +$0.57 | $10.0 | 2026-03-02 07:09 |
CM |
CM-055 L2: Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles ma… | NO | 0.485 | 0.445 | +$1.44 | $10.0 | 2026-03-02 13:10 |
CM |
CM-056 L2: Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | NO | 0.3635 | 0.391 | +$6.77 | $10.0 | 2026-03-02 13:10 |
CM |
CM-057 L1: Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 20… | YES | 0.445 | 0.450 | +$0.11 | $10.0 | 2026-03-02 17:10 |
CM |
CM-057 L2: Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2… | NO | 0.505 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-03-02 17:10 |
MA |
will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-this-week-march-1 | YES | 0.155 | — | — | $50 | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
MA |
Trump mention: Autopen | YES | 0.525 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 09:02 |
MA |
Trump mention: Transgender | YES | 0.655 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 09:02 |
MA |
Will Trump say "Ice Cream" this week? (March 8) | YES | 0.18 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 09:44 |
MA |
Will Trump say "Black Plastic" this week? (March 8) | YES | 0.21 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 09:44 |
MA |
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 8) | NO | 0.72 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 09:44 |
MA |
Trump mention: Jesus | YES | 0.265 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 10:00 |
MA |
Trump mention: Toyota | YES | 0.295 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 10:00 |
MA |
Trump mention: BRICS | YES | 0.31 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 10:00 |
MA |
Trump mention: G20 | YES | 0.335 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 10:00 |
MA |
Trump mention: Golf | YES | 0.555 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 10:00 |
MA |
Trump mention: Kamala | YES | 0.585 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 10:00 |
MA |
Trump mention: Maduro | YES | 0.62 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 10:00 |
MA |
Trump mention: El Salvador | YES | 0.255 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 13:01 |
MA |
Trump mention: Witch hunt | YES | 0.345 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 13:01 |
MA |
Trump mention: Insider | YES | 0.365 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 13:01 |
MA |
Trump mention: Nasty | YES | 0.67 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 13:01 |
S4 |
NATO Article 5 by March 31? | ? | 0.0685 | 0.079 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 00:09 |
S4 |
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? | ? | 0.14 | 0.135 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 00:09 |
S4 |
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? | ? | 0.119 | 0.076 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 00:09 |
S4 |
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | ? | 0.094 | 0.085 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 00:09 |
S4 |
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 20… | ? | 0.138 | 0.137 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 00:09 |
S4 |
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 20… | ? | 0.138 | 0.137 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 00:09 |
S4 |
Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | ? | 0.074 | 0.015 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 00:09 |
S4 |
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament? | ? | 0.102 | 0.018 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 04:09 |
S4 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea? | ? | 0.0605 | 0.004 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 04:09 |
S4 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? | ? | 0.059 | 0.013 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 04:09 |
S4 |
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? | ? | 0.0795 | 0.075 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 04:09 |
S4 |
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? | ? | 0.065 | 0.079 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 04:09 |
S4 |
NATO Article 5 by March 31? | ? | 0.118 | 0.079 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 04:09 |
S4 |
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Sen… | ? | 0.1155 | 0.135 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 04:09 |
S4 |
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | NO | 0.1055 | 0.011 | +$41.85 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 07:10 |
S4 |
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | NO | 0.1055 | 0.011 | +$41.85 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 07:10 |
S4 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 3… | NO | 0.091 | 0.052 | +$47.06 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 07:10 |
S4 |
Will TikTok be banned by March 31? | NO | 0.1065 | 0.116 | +$36.53 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 11:10 |
S4 |
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | NO | 0.0695 | 0.083 | +$60.97 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 11:10 |
S4 |
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? | NO | 0.142 | 0.129 | +$25.69 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 12:43 |
S4 |
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? | NO | 0.107 | 0.079 | +$38.04 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 12:43 |
S4 |
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | NO | 0.076 | 0.087 | +$55.03 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 12:43 |
S4 |
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026… | NO | 0.088 | 0.088 | +$46.82 | $5.0 | 2026-03-02 16:43 |
| Strategy | Market | Side | Entry | PnL | Status | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TD |
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senat… | NO | 0.94 | +$0.18 | CLOSED |
? |
TD |
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy A… | NO | 0.95 | +$0.13 | CLOSED |
? |
TD |
Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Acade… | NO | 0.949 | +$0.11 | CLOSED |
? |
TD |
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Aw… | NO | 0.94 | +$0.16 | CLOSED |
? |
TD |
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the… | NO | 0.937 | +$0.18 | CLOSED |
? |
TD |
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the… | NO | 0.924 | +$0.25 | CLOSED |
? |
TD |
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Acad… | NO | 0.909 | -$1.85 | CLOSED |
? |
TD |
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98t… | NO | 0.94 | +$0.19 | CLOSED |
? |
1B |
btc-updown-15m-1772469900 | YES | 0.845 | +$0.92 | resolved |
2026-03-02T16:56:18 |
S4 |
NATO Article 5 by March 31? | NO | 0.0685 | +$0.09 | CLOSED |
2026-03-02T16:43:28 |
1B |
btc-updown-15m-1772468100 | YES | 0.815 | +$1.13 | resolved |
2026-03-02T16:27:19 |
1B |
btc-updown-15m-1772460000 | YES | 0.895 | +$0.59 | resolved |
2026-03-02T14:13:01 |
S4 |
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? | NO | 0.119 | +$0.20 | CLOSED |
2026-03-02T12:43:25 |
S4 |
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | NO | 0.094 | +$0.26 | CLOSED |
2026-03-02T12:43:25 |
S4 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea? | NO | 0.0605 | +$0.19 | CLOSED |
2026-03-02T12:43:25 |
S4 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? | NO | 0.059 | +$0.16 | CLOSED |
2026-03-02T12:43:25 |
S4 |
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | NO | 0.1055 | +$0.41 | CLOSED |
2026-03-02T12:43:25 |
S4 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 3… | NO | 0.091 | +$0.20 | CLOSED |
2026-03-02T12:43:25 |
1B |
btc-updown-15m-1772451000 | YES | 0.855 | +$0.85 | resolved |
2026-03-02T11:42:05 |
S4 |
Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | NO | 0.074 | +$0.33 | CLOSED |
2026-03-02T11:10:52 |
1B |
btc-updown-15m-1772430300 | YES | 0.86 | +$0.81 | resolved |
2026-03-02T05:56:15 |
1B |
btc-updown-15m-1772423100 | YES | 0.865 | +$0.78 | resolved |
2026-03-02T03:59:28 |
1B |
btc-updown-15m-1772422200 | YES | 0.865 | +$0.78 | resolved |
2026-03-02T03:42:02 |
1B |
btc-updown-15m-1772417700 | YES | 0.885 | +$0.65 | resolved |
2026-03-02T02:28:10 |
CM |
nba-2025-26-pacific-division-winner-sacramento-kings | YES | 0.0005 | +$0.14 | CLOSED |
2026-03-02T01:10:36 |
| Service | Status | Last Activity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | OpenClaw Gateway | active |
eb_search: no provider configured, auto-detected "brave" from available API keys |
| 🟢 | Crypto Collector | active |
ed markets from API, checking against 3875 known markets (2665 already resolved) |
| 🟢 | Strategy 1B Bot | active |
:00 srv1356548 python3[207188]: [2026-03-02T19:58:09Z] BTC $68,918.00 (ws_relay) |
| 🟢 | Strategy 4 Bot | active |
03-02T16:43:29+00:00 srv1356548 strategy4[207179]: Sleeping 4h until next run... |
| 🟢 | BTC WebSocket Relay | active |
3-02 19:57:49] STATUS: 61 msgs in 61s (1.0/s) | reconnects=0 | source=binance_ws |
| 🟢 | Chrome Browser | active |
apis/gcm/engine/mcs_client.cc:748] Received close command, resetting connection. |
| 🔴 | Hype Monitor (4h) | inactive |
6548 systemd[1799]: Stopped hype-monitor.timer - Run hype monitor every 4 hours. |
| 🟢 | Mention Arb (6h) | active |
d[1799]: Started mention-arb.timer - Run mention arbitrage bot every 30 minutes. |
| 🟢 | Nightly Consolidation | active |
rted nightly-consolidation.timer - Nightly knowledge consolidation at 03:00 UTC. |
| 🔴 | NM Scanner (4h) | inactive |
pped new-market.timer - Run Strategy NM new market mispricing bot every 4 hours. |
| 🟢 | Political Scorer (4h) | active |
9]: Started political-scorer.timer - Run Political Scoring Engine every 4 hours. |
| 🔴 | PR Bot (1h) | inactive |
99]: Stopped political-pr.timer - Run PR Bot (Political Reversion) every 1 hour. |
| 🔴 | PF Bot (4h) | inactive |
f.timer - Run PF Bot (Political Fundamentals) every 4 hours (5min after scorer). |
| 🟢 | Dashboard Deploy (30m) | active |
systemd[1799]: Started dashboard.timer - Regenerate dashboard every 30 minutes. |
| 🟢 | Daily CEO Report (07:00) | active |
d[1799]: Started daily-report.timer - Daily CEO report at 07:00 UTC (08:00 CET). |
| 🟢 | Position Monitor (15m) | active |
ystemd[1799]: Started position-monitor.timer - Check positions every 15 minutes. |
| Check | Status | Details | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | services | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | timers | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | freshness | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | integrity | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | cadence | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | dashboard | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | memory | OK |
— |
| Status | Strategy | Trades | Closed | WR | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCHIVED | Strategy 1B v2 (no max entry) 25/25 WR but avg entry 94.7¢ = BE WR 95%. Capped at 0.95 in v3. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |
| ARCHIVED | Strategy 1B v1 (pre-bugfix) No min entry, dupes allowed, 5m enabled. 14 neutral exits from bad entries. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy A — 90¢+ Scalper Killed Feb 26. Correct thesis, wrong infra. Sub-second execution needed. |
4 | 4 | 100.0% | +$1.09 |
| KILLED | Strategy C — Catalyst Calendar Killed by backtest. No pre-catalyst drift — markets move ON event day, not before. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy B — Distribution Sniper Killed — only 2 multi-bucket markets in 25K dataset. No data to backtest. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy RC — Resolution Classifier Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). 0% WR on 3 closed trades. Data leakage in backtest. |
32 | 32 | 0.0% | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy PR — Political Reversion Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Reversion is 97-99% informed convergence, not noise. |
14 | 14 | 21.4% | +$0.80 |
| KILLED | Strategy PF — Political Fundamentals Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot. |
7 | 7 | 0.0% | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy UR — Universal Reversion Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Broad reversion dead — 97-99% informed moves. |
25 | 25 | 12.0% | -$0.46 |
| KILLED | Strategy NM — New Market Mispricing Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot. |
18 | 18 | 0.0% | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy FF — Favorite Fade Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot. |
8 | 8 | 0.0% | $0.00 |