Generated 2026-02-28 18:30:56 UTC · All data read directly from bot output files · PAPER MODE
| Status | Strategy | Trades | Open | Closed | WR | R:R | EV/Trade | PnL | Last Trade | Data Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAPER | Strategy 1B — Momentum Threshold BTC Up/Down 15m/1h/4h. Entry 0.80-0.95. BE WR: ~85% at sweet spot. |
13 | 0 | 13 | 92.3% (WR (v3)) | 0.13 | $0.1946 | +$2.53 | 2026-02-27 21:56 | 2h 59m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy 4 — Hype Reversion Buys NO on YES price spikes. Sells hype. Geo filters + crisis regime. |
0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | — | 2d ago |
| PAPER | Mention Arbitrage Buys YES on mention markets with high evidence scores. |
4 | 1 | 3 | 100.0% (WR (v1)) | — | $81.4400 | +$244.32 | 2026-02-25 23:15 | 1h 2m ago |
| PAPER | Calibration Bot — Favorite Overpricing Buys NO on overpriced favorites (crypto >60¢, politics >85¢, econ >80¢). Trump longshots at 20-40¢. |
5 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-28 18:01 | 29m ago |
| PAPER | Time Decay Sniper Near-certainty mispricing near expiry. 95%+ WR backtest. Crypto micro-markets excluded. |
3 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | — | 1h 3m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy CM — Cross-Market Arb Finds logically impossible price combinations across 5,000+ markets. Bets on guaranteed correction. |
31 | 31 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-28 17:09 | 12m ago |
| PAPER | Manual / Legacy Trades WC + early mention arb. Prices tracked via Gamma API. |
3 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-25 09:15 | 1h 2m ago |
| Strategy | Market | Side | Entry | Now | Unreal. PnL | Size | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mention Arb |
will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-this-week-march-1 | YES | 0.155 | 0.038 | -$37.58 | $50 | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
CAL Calibration |
bitcoin-above-58k-on-march-1 | NO | 0.0105 | 0.992 | -$467.14 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CAL Calibration |
bitcoin-above-60k-on-march-3 | NO | 0.0935 | 0.918 | -$44.12 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CAL Calibration |
will-ostium-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026 | NO | 0.155 | 0.860 | -$22.74 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 16:26 |
CAL Calibration |
will-the-oklahoma-city-thunder-finish-with-the-best-re… | YES | 0.644 | 0.634 | -$0.07 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 17:08 |
CAL Calibration |
nba-dal-mil-2026-01-25-total-218pt5 | YES | 0.43 | 0.430 | $0.00 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 18:01 |
TD Time Decay |
will-john-cornyn-win-the-2026-republican-primary | NO | 0 | 0.200 | — | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-cd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-colombian-senat… | NO | 0 | 0.043 | — | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-plc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-colombian-cham… | NO | 0 | 0.180 | — | $5.0 | ? |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 21:10 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 09:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-italy-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | YES | 0.625 | 0.620 | -$1.60 | $200 | 2026-02-24 21:28 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-sweden-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | YES | 0.27 | 0.290 | +$7.41 | $100.0 | 2026-02-25 09:15 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-ukraine-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | YES | 0.29 | 0.325 | +$12.07 | $100.0 | 2026-02-25 09:15 |
| Strategy | Market | Side | Entry | PnL | Status | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mention Arb |
? | YES | 0.495 | +$5.10 | resolved |
? |
1B Momentum |
bitcoin-up-or-down-february-28-8am-et | UP | 0.815 | +$1.13 | resolved |
2026-02-28T13:48:43 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772271000 | DOWN | 0.895 | +$0.59 | resolved |
2026-02-28T09:41:21 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772270100 | UP | 0.845 | +$0.92 | resolved |
2026-02-28T09:26:16 |
1B Momentum |
bitcoin-up-or-down-february-28-3am-et | DOWN | 0.835 | +$0.99 | resolved |
2026-02-28T08:52:21 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772264700 | DOWN | 0.875 | +$0.71 | resolved |
2026-02-28T07:57:05 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772259300 | DOWN | 0.8355 | +$0.98 | resolved |
2026-02-28T06:26:16 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772228700 | DOWN | 0.945 | +$0.29 | resolved |
2026-02-27T21:56:19 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772221500 | UP | 0.865 | +$0.78 | resolved |
2026-02-27T19:57:20 |
Mention Arb |
will-trump-say-transgender-this-week-march-1 | YES | 0.37 | +$85.14 | CLOSED |
2026-02-25T23:15:07 |
Mention Arb |
will-trump-say-barack-hussein-obama-this-week-march-1 | YES | 0.245 | +$154.08 | CLOSED |
2026-02-25T23:15:07 |
| Service | Status | Last Activity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | OpenClaw Gateway | active |
2026-02-28T18:28:22.533Z [telegram] sendMessage ok chat=1552659199 message=1359 |
| 🟢 | Crypto Collector | active |
sed markets from API, checking against 2427 known markets (705 already resolved) |
| 🟢 | Strategy 1B Bot | active |
0:00 srv1356548 python3[90420]: [2026-02-28T18:30:55Z] BTC $65,248.35 (ws_relay) |
| 🟢 | Strategy 4 Bot | active |
02-28T16:57:10+00:00 srv1356548 strategy4[103733]: Sleeping 4h until next run... |
| 🟢 | BTC WebSocket Relay | active |
2-28 18:30:43] STATUS: 60 msgs in 60s (1.0/s) | reconnects=0 | source=binance_ws |
| 🟢 | Chrome Browser | active |
ent.cc:36] Unexpected on_device_model service disconnect: Error loading backend. |
| 🔴 | Hype Monitor (4h) | inactive |
6548 systemd[1799]: Stopped hype-monitor.timer - Run hype monitor every 4 hours. |
| 🟢 | Mention Arb (6h) | active |
temd[1799]: Started mention-arb.timer - Run mention arbitrage bot every 6 hours. |
| 🟢 | Nightly Consolidation | active |
rted nightly-consolidation.timer - Nightly knowledge consolidation at 03:00 UTC. |
| 🔴 | NM Scanner (4h) | inactive |
pped new-market.timer - Run Strategy NM new market mispricing bot every 4 hours. |
| 🟢 | Political Scorer (4h) | active |
9]: Started political-scorer.timer - Run Political Scoring Engine every 4 hours. |
| 🔴 | PR Bot (1h) | inactive |
99]: Stopped political-pr.timer - Run PR Bot (Political Reversion) every 1 hour. |
| 🔴 | PF Bot (4h) | inactive |
f.timer - Run PF Bot (Political Fundamentals) every 4 hours (5min after scorer). |
| 🟢 | Dashboard Deploy (30m) | active |
systemd[1799]: Started dashboard.timer - Regenerate dashboard every 30 minutes. |
| 🟢 | Daily CEO Report (07:00) | active |
d[1799]: Started daily-report.timer - Daily CEO report at 07:00 UTC (08:00 CET). |
| 🟢 | Position Monitor (15m) | active |
ystemd[1799]: Started position-monitor.timer - Check positions every 15 minutes. |
| Check | Status | Details | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | services | OK |
— |
| 🟡 | timers | WARNING |
Timer political-pr is inactive (not active) · Timer political-pf is inactive (not active) · Timer new-market is inactive (not active) (+1 more) |
| 🟢 | freshness | OK |
— |
| 🔴 | integrity | CRITICAL |
cross_market_arb: 1 duplicate trade ID(s) |
| 🟢 | cadence | OK |
— |
| 🔴 | dashboard | CRITICAL |
Dashboard total trades (121) diverges from raw (189) by 68 · Dashboard open positions (42) diverges from raw (35) by 7 |
| 🟢 | memory | OK |
— |
| Status | Strategy | Trades | Closed | WR | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCHIVED | Strategy 1B v2 (no max entry) 25/25 WR but avg entry 94.7¢ = BE WR 95%. Capped at 0.95 in v3. |
25 | 25 | 100.0% | +$7.41 |
| ARCHIVED | Strategy 1B v1 (pre-bugfix) No min entry, dupes allowed, 5m enabled. 14 neutral exits from bad entries. |
26 | 26 | 46.2% | +$7.84 |
| KILLED | Strategy A — 90¢+ Scalper Killed Feb 26. Correct thesis, wrong infra. Sub-second execution needed. |
4 | 4 | 100.0% | +$1.09 |
| KILLED | Strategy C — Catalyst Calendar Killed by backtest. No pre-catalyst drift — markets move ON event day, not before. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy B — Distribution Sniper Killed — only 2 multi-bucket markets in 25K dataset. No data to backtest. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy RC — Resolution Classifier Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). 0% WR on 3 closed trades. Data leakage in backtest. |
32 | 32 | 0.0% | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy PR — Political Reversion Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Reversion is 97-99% informed convergence, not noise. |
14 | 14 | 21.4% | +$0.80 |
| KILLED | Strategy PF — Political Fundamentals Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot. |
7 | 7 | 0.0% | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy UR — Universal Reversion Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Broad reversion dead — 97-99% informed moves. |
25 | 25 | 12.0% | -$0.46 |
| KILLED | Strategy NM — Base Rate Divergence Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot. |
18 | 18 | 0.0% | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy FF — Favorite Fade Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot. |
8 | 8 | 0.0% | $0.00 |