🦞 Drex Capital β€” Operations Dashboard

Generated 2026-03-06 07:32:26 UTC Β· All data read directly from bot output files Β· PAPER MODE

137
Total Trades
50
Open Positions
87
Closed
92.0%
Win Rate
$50.74
Realized PnL
$864.68
Unrealized PnL
$2480
Capital Deployed

πŸ“Š Strategy Performance

StatusStrategyTradesOpenClosedWRR:REV/TradePnLLast TradeData Age
PAPER Strategy CM β€” Cross-Market Arb
Finds logically impossible price combinations across 5,000+ markets. Bets on guaranteed correction.
7 4 3 100.0% (WR (v9)) β€” $1.8500 +$5.55 2026-03-05 17:09 12h 22m ago
PAPER Strategy 1B β€” BTC Momentum
BTC Up/Down 15m/1h/4h. Entry 0.80-0.95. BE WR: ~85% at sweet spot.
62 0 62 90.3% (WR (all versions)) 0.26 $0.4611 +$31.85 2026-03-06 06:48 27m ago
PAPER Strategy 4 β€” Hype Reversion
Buys NO on YES price spikes. Sells hype. Geo filters + crisis regime.
9 0 9 88.9% (WR (v6)) 0.11 $-0.0323 -$0.29 2026-03-05 12:20 19h 11m ago
PAPER Event Clusters
48 40 8 100.0% (WR) β€” $1.4956 +$11.96 2026-03-06 04:30 1h 1m ago
PAPER Fear Fade (FF2)
Geopolitical/military/catastrophe fear spikes fade on unlikely events. Buy NO when YES < 20%.
11 6 5 100.0% (WR (v1)) β€” $0.3349 +$1.67 2026-03-06 06:01 1h 30m ago
PAPER CG-TT: Trump Triggers
Event-driven: Trump actions trigger connected market mispricings.
0 0 0 β€” β€” β€” $0.00 β€” 1m ago
PAPER CG-GEO: Geopolitical Chains
Event-driven: geopolitical events trigger connected market mispricings.
0 0 0 β€” β€” β€” $0.00 β€” 1m ago
PAPER CG-POL: Political Cascades
Event-driven: political events trigger connected election/policy market mispricings.
0 0 0 β€” β€” β€” $0.00 β€” 1m ago

πŸ€– Team

πŸ‘” Management

AgentRoleModelStatus
BobCOO β€” Orchestration & Delegationclaude-opus-4-6Active
ElonCTO β€” Engineering (Ralph loops)claude-sonnet-4-6On-demand
QuantDiscovery & Pattern Recognitionclaude-opus-4-6On-demand
AnalystResearch & Validationclaude-sonnet-4-6On-demand

πŸ€– Automated Bots

BotStrategyFrequencyStatus
🟒 Cross Market BotCMEvery 2h (cross-market.timer)active
🟒 Strategy1B Bot1BContinuous long-running serviceactive
🟒 Strategy4 BotS4Hype monitor: every 4hactive
🟒 Cluster Runner BotECPβ€”active
🟒 Fear Fade BotFF2Every 2h (fear-fade.timer)active
🟒 Causal Graph Engine BotCG-TT, CG-GEO, CG-POLEvery 15min (causal-graph.timer)active

πŸ—οΈ Infrastructure

ServicePurposeStatus
🟒 Strategy EngineValidate + Discover (4h)active
🟒 WatchdogHealth checks (15m)active
🟒 BTC WS RelayBTC price feedactive
🟒 Polymarket WS RelayMarket pricesactive
🟒 Crypto CollectorBTC market dataactive
🟒 DashboardAuto-deploy (30m)active
🟒 Auto BackupGit push (6h)active

πŸ“ Open Positions (82)

StrategyMarketSideEntryNowUnreal. PnLSizeOpened
CM CM-001 L1: US recession by end of 2026? YES 0.23 0.255 +$1.09 $10.0 2026-03-04 11:10
CM CM-002 L1: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YES 0.235 0.275 +$1.70 $10.0 2026-03-04 11:10
CM CM-003 L1: Iran nuclear test before 2027? YES 0.12 0.110 -$0.83 $10.0 2026-03-04 11:10
CM CM-007 L1: U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? YES 0.29 0.330 +$1.38 $10.0 2026-03-05 17:09
S4 Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? ? 0.14 0.140 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 00:09
S4 Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 20… ? 0.138 0.106 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 00:09
S4 Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 20… ? 0.138 0.106 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 00:09
S4 Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament? ? 0.102 0.009 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 04:09
S4 Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea? ? 0.0605 0.006 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 04:09
S4 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? ? 0.059 0.004 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 04:09
S4 Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? ? 0.0795 0.024 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 04:09
S4 Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Sen… ? 0.1155 0.138 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 04:09
S4 Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? NO 0.1055 0.005 +$42.13 $5.0 2026-03-02 07:10
S4 Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? NO 0.1055 0.005 +$42.13 $5.0 2026-03-02 07:10
S4 Will TikTok be banned by March 31? NO 0.1065 0.031 +$40.49 $5.0 2026-03-02 11:10
S4 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? NO 0.0695 0.103 +$59.53 $5.0 2026-03-02 11:10
S4 Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026… NO 0.088 0.122 +$44.86 $5.0 2026-03-02 16:43
S4 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election i… NO 0.1405 0.033 +$29.41 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:43
S4 Will Chael Sonnen win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republi… NO 0.071 0.015 +$64.40 $5.0 2026-03-03 00:43
S4 Deel IPO before 2027? NO 0.13 0.160 +$27.31 $5.0 2026-03-03 08:43
S4 Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? NO 0.1375 0.050 +$29.55 $5.0 2026-03-03 12:43
S4 Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of… NO 0.13 0.060 +$31.15 $5.0 2026-03-03 12:43
S4 Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? NO 0.109 0.113 +$35.69 $5.0 2026-03-03 16:43
S4 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? NO 0.115 0.085 +$34.78 $5.0 2026-03-03 16:43
S4 Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? NO 0.113 0.076 +$35.88 $5.0 2026-03-03 16:43
ECP Will Jean Philippe Krasso be the top goal scorer in th… NO 0.702 0.203 +$0.68 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Breel Embolo be the top goal scorer in the 2025-2… NO 0.704 0.199 +$0.69 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Terem Moffi be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26… NO 0.705 0.188 +$0.76 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina T… NO 0.4955 0.519 -$0.15 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the … NO 0.2 0.800 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Mem… NO 0.58 0.460 -$0.34 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 20… NO 0.706 0.262 +$0.23 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Mem… NO 0.05 0.940 +$1.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal score… NO 0.31 0.655 +$0.56 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made… NO 0.79 0.240 -$0.19 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 202… NO 0.235 0.790 -$0.53 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved P… NO 0.4895 0.512 -$0.02 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Divi… NO 0.046 0.922 +$3.42 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best re… NO 0.38 0.745 -$1.64 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for S… NO 0.195 0.790 +$0.38 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:41
ECP Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 20… NO 0.105 0.800 +$4.52 $5.0 2026-03-02 20:47
ECP Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2… NO 0.21 0.770 +$0.48 $5.0 2026-03-02 22:30
ECP Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–… NO 0.0785 0.890 +$2.01 $5.0 2026-03-02 22:30
ECP Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Tro… NO 0.515 0.515 -$0.29 $5.0 2026-03-03 00:31
ECP Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Play… NO 0.2845 0.674 +$0.72 $5.0 2026-03-03 02:31
ECP Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2… NO 0.73 0.280 -$0.07 $5.0 2026-03-03 06:30
ECP Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Tr… NO 0.5995 0.285 +$0.96 $5.0 2026-03-03 06:30
ECP Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Electio… NO 0.465 0.525 +$0.11 $5.0 2026-03-03 08:31
ECP Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Y… NO 0.4535 0.531 +$0.17 $5.0 2026-03-03 12:31
ECP Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in… NO 0.14 0.900 -$1.43 $5.0 2026-03-03 14:31
ECP Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'R… NO 0.337 0.677 -$0.22 $5.0 2026-03-03 18:30
ECP Will Galatasaray win the SΓΌper Lig? NO 0.295 0.710 -$0.08 $5.0 2026-03-03 20:30
ECP Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy? NO 0.6185 0.344 +$0.30 $5.0 2026-03-04 18:30
ECP Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the… NO 0.265 0.735 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-04 20:30
ECP Will IvΓ‘n Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 … NO 0.305 0.685 +$0.16 $5.0 2026-03-04 22:31
ECP Will Kon Knueppel lead the NBA in three pointers made … NO 0.595 0.215 +$1.60 $5.0 2026-03-05 02:31
ECP Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made d… NO 0.8295 0.305 -$0.81 $5.0 2026-03-05 02:31
ECP Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate … NO 0.315 0.760 -$1.19 $5.0 2026-03-05 02:31
ECP Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memor… NO 0.375 0.650 -$0.33 $5.0 2026-03-05 08:31
ECP Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during th… NO 0.795 0.204 +$0.00 $5.0 2026-03-05 14:31
ECP Will Jon Cooper win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award? NO 0.4465 0.553 +$0.01 $5.0 2026-03-05 20:31
ECP Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award? NO 0.6 0.443 -$0.36 $5.0 2026-03-05 20:31
ECP Will Jared Bednar win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Awa… NO 0.903 0.063 +$0.19 $5.0 2026-03-05 22:31
ECP Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Y… NO 0.4625 0.531 +$0.06 $5.0 2026-03-06 04:30
ECP Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–… NO 0.0995 0.890 +$0.53 $5.0 2026-03-06 04:30
FF2 NATO Article 5 by March 31? ? 0.0685 0.059 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 00:09
FF2 Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? ? 0.119 0.065 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 00:09
FF2 Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? ? 0.094 0.076 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 00:09
FF2 Netanyahu arrested by March 31? ? 0.074 0.012 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 00:09
FF2 Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? ? 0.065 0.071 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 04:09
FF2 NATO Article 5 by March 31? ? 0.118 0.059 $0.00 $5.0 2026-03-02 04:09
FF2 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 3… NO 0.091 0.037 +$47.88 $5.0 2026-03-02 07:10
FF2 Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? NO 0.142 0.073 +$27.64 $5.0 2026-03-02 12:43
FF2 Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? NO 0.107 0.071 +$38.39 $5.0 2026-03-02 12:43
FF2 Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? NO 0.076 0.041 +$58.09 $5.0 2026-03-02 12:43
FF2 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2… NO 0.13 0.100 +$29.63 $5.0 2026-03-03 04:43
FF2 NATO article 5 before 2027? NO 0.165 0.145 +$20.91 $5.0 2026-03-05 06:01
FF2 NATO Article 5 by March 31? NO 0.1565 0.059 +$25.05 $5.0 2026-03-05 06:01
FF2 NATO Article 5 by March 31? NO 0.1565 0.059 +$25.05 $5.0 2026-03-05 06:01
FF2 Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? NO 0.1395 0.129 +$26.24 $5.0 2026-03-05 06:01
FF2 Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? NO 0.1875 0.169 +$17.16 $5.0 2026-03-05 22:01
FF2 Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? NO 0.197 0.169 +$16.09 $5.0 2026-03-06 06:01
Page 1 of 1

πŸ“œ Recent Trades

StrategyMarketSideEntryPnLStatusTime
1B bitcoin-up-or-down-march-6-1am-et YES 0.805 $0.00 timeout 2026-03-06T06:48:34
1B btc-updown-15m-1772778600 YES 0.825 +$1.06 resolved 2026-03-06T06:43:48
1B btc-updown-15m-1772775900 YES 0.845 +$0.92 resolved 2026-03-06T05:58:02
1B btc-updown-15m-1772773200 YES 0.875 +$0.71 resolved 2026-03-06T05:12:09
1B btc-updown-15m-1772772300 YES 0.875 +$0.71 resolved 2026-03-06T04:59:05
1B btc-updown-15m-1772766000 YES 0.825 +$1.06 resolved 2026-03-06T03:13:56
ECP Will Jared Bednar win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Awa… NO 0.903 +$0.19 CLOSED 2026-03-05T22:31:06
1B btc-updown-15m-1772738100 YES 0.83 +$1.02 resolved 2026-03-05T19:26:27
1B btc-updown-15m-1772730900 YES 0.845 +$0.92 resolved 2026-03-05T17:29:09
FF2 NATO article 5 before 2027? NO 0.165 +$0.30 CLOSED 2026-03-05T16:01:41
CM will-fomo-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026 YES 0.24 +$1.50 CLOSED 2026-03-05T15:09:47
FF2 NATO article 5 before 2027? NO 0.165 +$0.12 CLOSED 2026-03-05T14:01:16
FF2 NATO Article 5 by March 31? NO 0.1565 +$0.92 CLOSED 2026-03-05T14:01:16
S4 Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? NO 0.113 +$0.08 CLOSED 2026-03-05T12:20:56
FF2 NATO Article 5 by March 31? NO 0.1565 +$0.29 CLOSED 2026-03-05T12:01:02
ECP Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memor… NO 0.375 +$0.87 CLOSED 2026-03-05T08:31:17
ECP Will Kon Knueppel lead the NBA in three pointers made … NO 0.595 +$0.92 CLOSED 2026-03-05T02:31:49
CM will-fomo-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026 YES 0.24 +$1.80 CLOSED 2026-03-04T23:11:01
S4 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? NO 0.115 +$0.25 CLOSED 2026-03-04T16:20:38
CM will-fomo-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026 YES 0.24 +$2.25 CLOSED 2026-03-04T13:10:01
S4 Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? NO 0.1375 +$0.33 CLOSED 2026-03-04T08:20:31
S4 Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of… NO 0.13 +$0.37 CLOSED 2026-03-04T08:20:31
FF2 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2… NO 0.13 +$0.04 CLOSED 2026-03-04T08:01:01
S4 Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? NO 0.1375 +$0.13 CLOSED 2026-03-04T00:20:25
S4 Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of… NO 0.13 +$0.06 CLOSED 2026-03-04T00:20:25

πŸ”§ Infrastructure

ServiceStatusLast Activity
🟒 OpenClaw Gateway active 2026-03-06T07:08:36.832Z [telegram] [default] starting provider (@BobFeb26_bot)
🟒 Crypto Collector active ed markets from API, checking against 5848 known markets (6472 already resolved)
🟒 Strategy 1B Bot active :00 srv1356548 python3[207188]: [2026-03-06T07:32:26Z] BTC $70,923.29 (ws_relay)
🟒 Strategy 4 Bot active 03-06T04:21:08+00:00 srv1356548 strategy4[273062]: Sleeping 4h until next run...
🟒 BTC WebSocket Relay active 3-06 07:32:15] STATUS: 61 msgs in 61s (1.0/s) | reconnects=0 | source=binance_ws
🟒 Chrome Browser active gine/connection_factory_impl.cc:483] ConnectionHandler failed with net error: -2
πŸ”΄ Hype Monitor (4h) inactive 6548 systemd[1799]: Stopped hype-monitor.timer - Run hype monitor every 4 hours.
πŸ”΄ Mention Arb (6h) inactive d[1799]: Stopped mention-arb.timer - Run mention arbitrage bot every 30 minutes.
🟒 Nightly Consolidation active -- No entries --
πŸ”΄ NM Scanner (4h) inactive pped new-market.timer - Run Strategy NM new market mispricing bot every 4 hours.
🟒 Political Scorer (4h) active 9]: Started political-scorer.timer - Run Political Scoring Engine every 4 hours.
πŸ”΄ PR Bot (1h) inactive 99]: Stopped political-pr.timer - Run PR Bot (Political Reversion) every 1 hour.
πŸ”΄ PF Bot (4h) inactive f.timer - Run PF Bot (Political Fundamentals) every 4 hours (5min after scorer).
🟒 Dashboard Deploy (30m) active -- No entries --
🟒 Daily CEO Report (07:00) active d[1799]: Started daily-report.timer - Daily CEO report at 07:00 UTC (08:00 CET).
🟒 Position Monitor (15m) active ystemd[1799]: Started position-monitor.timer - Check positions every 15 minutes.

πŸ” Watchdog

βœ… OK Last check: 2026-03-06 07:31:56 UTC Duration: 59880ms
CheckStatusDetails
🟒 services OK β€”
🟒 timers OK β€”
🟒 freshness OK β€”
🟒 integrity OK β€”
🟒 cadence OK β€”
🟒 dashboard OK β€”
🟒 memory OK β€”

πŸ—„οΈ Archived / Killed Strategies

StatusStrategyTradesClosedWRPnL
KILLED CAL-M1: Fade Favorites
Buy NO on overpriced favorites (crypto >60Β’, politics/econ >80-85Β’).
27 15 26.7% -$20.04
KILLED CAL-M2: Trump Longshots
Buy YES on Trump longshot markets (20-40Β’ range).
27 15 26.7% -$20.04
KILLED CAL-M3: Falling Favorites
Buy NO on favorites with downward price momentum.
27 15 26.7% -$20.04
KILLED CAL-M4: Sports Favorites
Sports market favorites β€” fading overpriced YES/NO outcomes.
27 15 26.7% -$20.04
KILLED Time Decay Sniper
Near-certainty mispricing near expiry. 95%+ WR backtest. Crypto micro-markets excluded.
26 12 75.0% -$2.62
KILLED Mention Arbitrage
Buys YES on mention markets with high evidence scores.
19 2 100.0% +$239.22
KILLED Sports Overround Scanner
Sports overround execution bot. Scanner detects mispriced events; bot fades overpriced YES outcomes by buying NO.
0 0 β€” $0.00
ARCHIVED Strategy 1B v2 (no max entry)
25/25 WR but avg entry 94.7Β’ = BE WR 95%. Capped at 0.95 in v3.
0 0 β€” $0.00
ARCHIVED Strategy 1B v1 (pre-bugfix)
No min entry, dupes allowed, 5m enabled. 14 neutral exits from bad entries.
0 0 β€” $0.00
KILLED Strategy A β€” 90Β’+ Scalper
Killed Feb 26. Correct thesis, wrong infra. Sub-second execution needed.
4 4 100.0% +$1.09
KILLED Strategy C β€” Catalyst Calendar
Killed by backtest. No pre-catalyst drift β€” markets move ON event day, not before.
0 0 β€” $0.00
KILLED Strategy B β€” Distribution Sniper
Killed β€” only 2 multi-bucket markets in 25K dataset. No data to backtest.
0 0 β€” $0.00
KILLED Strategy RC β€” Resolution Classifier
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). 0% WR on 3 closed trades. Data leakage in backtest.
32 32 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy PR β€” Political Reversion
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Reversion is 97-99% informed convergence, not noise.
14 14 21.4% +$0.80
KILLED Strategy PF β€” Political Fundamentals
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
7 7 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy UR β€” Universal Reversion
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Broad reversion dead β€” 97-99% informed moves.
25 25 12.0% -$0.46
KILLED Strategy NM β€” New Market Mispricing
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
18 18 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy FF β€” Favorite Fade
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
8 8 0.0% $0.00
ARCHIVED Info Velocity
1 0 β€” $0.00
KILLED Political Macro
11 0 β€” $0.00
ARCHIVED Cross-Platform Arb
5 0 β€” $0.00