🦞 Drex Capital — Operations Dashboard

Generated 2026-03-01 20:18:34 UTC · All data read directly from bot output files · PAPER MODE

106
Total Trades
96
Open Positions
10
Closed
90.0%
Win Rate
$268.48
Realized PnL
$-37.95
Unrealized PnL
$1165
Capital Deployed

📊 Strategy Performance

StatusStrategyTradesOpenClosedWRR:REV/TradePnLLast TradeData Age
PAPER CAL-M1: Fade Favorites
Buy NO on overpriced favorites (crypto >60¢, politics/econ >80-85¢).
8 8 0 $0.00 2026-03-01 20:01 16m ago
PAPER CAL-M2: Trump Longshots
Buy YES on Trump longshot markets (20-40¢ range).
1 1 0 $0.00 2026-02-28 20:00 16m ago
PAPER CAL-M3: Falling Favorites
Buy NO on favorites with downward price momentum.
1 1 0 $0.00 2026-02-28 16:26 16m ago
PAPER CAL-M4: Sports Favorites
Sports market favorites — fading overpriced YES/NO outcomes.
3 1 2 50.0% (WR (v1)) $0.0087 +$0.02 2026-03-01 16:00 16m ago
PAPER Time Decay Sniper
Near-certainty mispricing near expiry. 95%+ WR backtest. Crypto micro-markets excluded.
22 22 0 $0.00 11h 57m ago
PAPER Strategy CM — Cross-Market Arb
Finds logically impossible price combinations across 5,000+ markets. Bets on guaranteed correction.
50 47 3 100.0% (WR (all versions)) $7.4567 +$22.37 2026-03-01 17:10 1h 8m ago
PAPER Mention Arbitrage
Buys YES on mention markets with high evidence scores.
16 13 3 100.0% (WR (all versions)) $81.4400 +$244.32 2026-03-01 10:00 10h 17m ago
PAPER Strategy 1B — BTC Momentum
BTC Up/Down 15m/1h/4h. Entry 0.80-0.95. BE WR: ~85% at sweet spot.
2 0 2 100.0% (WR (v6)) $0.8850 +$1.77 2026-03-01 17:29 2h 44m ago
PAPER Strategy 4 — Hype Reversion
Buys NO on YES price spikes. Sells hype. Geo filters + crisis regime.
0 0 0 $0.00 3d ago
PAPER Sports Overround Scanner
Scans sports markets for overround mispricing and underdog edge opportunities.
0 0 0 $0.00 3h 10m ago
PAPER Manual / Legacy Trades
WC + early mention arb. Prices tracked via Gamma API.
3 3 0 $0.00 2026-02-25 09:15 1d ago

🤖 Team

👔 Management

AgentRoleModelStatus
BobCOO — Orchestration & Delegationclaude-opus-4-6Active
ElonCTO — Engineering (Ralph loops)claude-sonnet-4-6On-demand
AnalystResearch & Validationclaude-sonnet-4-6On-demand

🤖 Automated Bots

BotStrategyFrequencyStatus
🟢 Calibration BotCAL-M1, CAL-M2, CAL-M3 +1Every 2h (calibration.timer)active
🟢 Time Decay BotTDEvery 2h (time-decay.timer)active
🟢 Cross Market BotCMEvery 2h (cross-market.timer)active
🟢 Mention Arb BotMAEvery 6h (mention-arb.timer)active
🟢 Strategy1B Bot1BContinuous long-running serviceactive
🟢 Strategy4 BotS4Hype monitor: every 4hactive
🟢 Sports Odds BotSportsEvery 4h (sports-odds.timer)active

🏗️ Infrastructure

ServicePurposeStatus
🟢 Strategy EngineReferee + Scout (4h)active
🟢 System Health19-check watchdog (15m)active
🟢 WS RelayBTC price feedactive
🟢 Price CollectorMarket snapshots (4h)active
🟢 Auto BackupGit push (6h)active

📍 Open Positions (98)

StrategyMarketSideEntryNowUnreal. PnLSizeOpened
CAL-M1 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1? NO 0.0105 1.000 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CAL-M1 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3? NO 0.0935 0.947 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CAL-M1 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3? NO 0.105 0.865 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-03-01 10:01
CAL-M1 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3? NO 0.23 0.690 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-03-01 10:01
CAL-M1 Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026? NO 0.015 0.985 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-03-01 13:52
CAL-M1 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by Decem… NO 0.1345 0.863 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-03-01 13:52
CAL-M1 Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? NO 0.17 0.815 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-03-01 16:00
CAL-M1 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3? NO 0.0185 0.974 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-03-01 20:01
CAL-M2 Trump declares election interference national emergenc… YES 0.315 0.355 +$0.63 $5.0 2026-02-28 20:00
CAL-M3 Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? NO 0.155 0.875 -$5.00 $5.0 2026-02-28 16:26
CAL-M4 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best re… YES 0.644 0.565 -$0.62 $5.0 2026-02-28 17:08
TD Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? NO 0.19 0.205 -$0.39 $5.0 ?
TD Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senat… NO 0.06 0.038 +$1.83 $5.0 ?
TD Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Cham… NO 0.15 0.110 +$1.33 $5.0 ?
TD Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy A… NO 0.05 0.044 +$0.55 $5.0 ?
TD Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Ac… NO 0.05 0.046 +$0.35 $5.0 ?
TD Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Acade… NO 0.051 0.032 +$1.86 $5.0 ?
TD Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Aw… NO 0.06 0.056 +$0.37 $5.0 ?
TD Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Ac… NO 0.06 0.080 -$1.67 $5.0 ?
TD Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the… NO 0.063 0.035 +$2.22 $5.0 ?
TD Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academ… NO 0.07 0.054 +$1.11 $5.0 ?
TD Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy… NO 0.072 0.047 +$1.74 $5.0 ?
TD Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the… NO 0.076 0.065 +$0.76 $5.0 ?
TD Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98t… NO 0.084 0.060 +$1.40 $5.0 ?
TD Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Acad… NO 0.091 0.095 -$0.22 $5.0 ?
TD Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Acad… NO 0.11 0.125 -$0.68 $5.0 ?
TD Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th … NO 0.128 0.121 +$0.27 $5.0 ?
TD Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th A… NO 0.133 0.160 -$1.00 $5.0 ?
TD Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awar… NO 0.15 0.076 +$2.47 $5.0 ?
TD Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Acade… NO 0.17 0.165 +$0.15 $5.0 ?
TD Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 9… NO 0.202 0.230 -$0.68 $5.0 ?
TD Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98t… NO 0.06 0.049 +$0.96 $5.0 ?
TD Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at th… NO 0.24 0.225 +$0.31 $5.0 ?
CM CM-001 L1: Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Pro… YES 0.0035 0.003 -$2.86 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-001 L2: Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Provi… NO 0.528 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-002 L2: Will Arizona win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's… NO 0.75 0.930 -$2.40 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-003 L1: Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bis… YES 0.0055 0.007 +$3.64 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-004 L1: Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize i… YES 0.0025 0.004 +$8.00 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-005 L1: Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Provi… YES 0.0395 0.035 -$1.14 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-005 L2: Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Pr… NO 0.35 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-006 L1: Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 202… YES 0.04 0.039 -$0.25 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-007 L1: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate … YES 0.0285 0.028 -$0.18 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-008 L1: Will the Republicans win the Michigan gover… YES 0.195 0.190 -$0.26 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-009 L1: Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin gove… YES 0.155 0.155 $0.00 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-010 L2: Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democrati… NO 0.535 0.690 -$2.90 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-011 L1: Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2… YES 0.0175 0.018 +$0.29 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-012 L2: Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon G… NO 0.465 0.360 +$2.26 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-014 L2: Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska … NO 0.3 0.280 +$0.67 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-015 L2: Will Trump and Putin not meet? NO 0.651 0.606 +$0.69 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-016 L1: Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the S… YES 0.0005 0.001 $0.00 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-017 L2: Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to betwe… NO 0.422 0.241 +$4.29 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-018 L1: Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of App… YES 0.075 0.070 -$0.67 $10.0 2026-02-27 20:29
CM CM-020 L2: Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma … NO 0.57 0.550 +$0.35 $10.0 2026-02-27 21:10
CM CM-021 L1: Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peac… YES 0.0035 0.003 -$1.43 $10.0 2026-02-28 09:09
CM CM-022 L1: Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 20… YES 0.033 0.033 -$0.15 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM CM-023 L1: Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Gover… YES 0.0305 0.024 -$2.30 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM CM-024 L1: Will Amazon be the largest company in the w… YES 0.0025 0.003 $0.00 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM CM-026 L2: Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? NO 0.327 0.059 +$8.18 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM CM-027 L1: Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Bad… YES 0.0005 0.001 $0.00 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM CM-028 L2: No one announced as next James Bond? NO 0.55 0.565 -$0.27 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM CM-029 L2: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime M… NO 0.615 0.635 -$0.33 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM CM-030 L1: Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greate… YES 0.0255 0.035 +$3.73 $10.0 2026-02-28 16:52
CM CM-031 L1: Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? YES 0.0015 0.004 +$13.33 $10.0 2026-02-28 17:09
CM CM-032 L2: Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacif… NO 0.495 0.545 -$1.01 $10.0 2026-02-28 19:09
CM CM-033 L2: Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Ba… NO 0.86 0.965 -$1.22 $10.0 2026-02-28 19:09
CM CM-034 L1: Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee f… YES 0.0005 0.001 $0.00 $10.0 2026-02-28 19:09
CM CM-035 L1: Will Nottm Forest finish in 2nd place in th… YES 0.0005 0.001 $0.00 $10.0 2026-02-28 20:36
CM CM-036 L2: Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic … NO 0.605 0.610 -$0.08 $10.0 2026-02-28 20:36
CM CM-037 L2: Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s… NO 0.42 0.790 -$8.81 $10.0 2026-02-28 21:09
CM CM-038 L1: Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on J… YES 0.0185 0.018 -$0.54 $10.0 2026-02-28 21:09
CM CM-039 L1: Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie… YES 0.0005 0.001 $0.00 $10.0 2026-02-28 23:09
CM CM-040 L2: Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NB… NO 0.445 0.425 +$0.45 $10.0 2026-02-28 23:09
CM CM-041 L1: Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Ark… YES 0.0715 0.045 -$3.71 $10.0 2026-03-01 03:09
CM CM-042 L1: Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? YES 0.005 0.006 +$2.00 $10.0 2026-03-01 07:09
CM CM-043 L2: Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions Leag… NO 0.265 0.275 -$0.38 $10.0 2026-03-01 07:09
CM CM-044 L1: Will Trump deport less than 250,000? YES 0.0005 $10.0 2026-03-01 11:09
CM CM-045 L1: Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? YES 0.0025 0.004 +$6.00 $10.0 2026-03-01 11:09
CM CM-046 L2: Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no pr… NO 0.3 0.276 +$0.82 $10.0 2026-03-01 11:09
CM CM-047 L1: Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bo… YES 0.0015 0.002 $0.00 $10.0 2026-03-01 13:10
CM CM-048 L1: Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayor… YES 0.0005 0.001 $0.00 $10.0 2026-03-01 15:11
CM CM-049 L1: Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple? YES 0.0745 0.074 $0.00 $10.0 2026-03-01 17:10
CM CM-050 L1: Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? YES 0.0015 0.002 $0.00 $10.0 2026-03-01 17:10
MA will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-this-week-march-1 YES 0.155 0.005 -$48.39 $50 2026-02-25 23:15
MA Trump mention: Autopen YES 0.525 $5.0 2026-03-01 09:02
MA Trump mention: Transgender YES 0.655 $5.0 2026-03-01 09:02
MA Will Trump say "Ice Cream" this week? (March 8) YES 0.18 $5.0 2026-03-01 09:44
MA Will Trump say "Black Plastic" this week? (March 8) YES 0.21 $5.0 2026-03-01 09:44
MA Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 8) NO 0.72 $5.0 2026-03-01 09:44
MA Trump mention: Jesus YES 0.265 $5.0 2026-03-01 10:00
MA Trump mention: Toyota YES 0.295 $5.0 2026-03-01 10:00
MA Trump mention: BRICS YES 0.31 $5.0 2026-03-01 10:00
MA Trump mention: G20 YES 0.335 $5.0 2026-03-01 10:00
MA Trump mention: Golf YES 0.555 $5.0 2026-03-01 10:00
MA Trump mention: Kamala YES 0.585 $5.0 2026-03-01 10:00
MA Trump mention: Maduro YES 0.62 $5.0 2026-03-01 10:00
Manual will-italy-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup YES 0.625 0.625 $0.00 $200 2026-02-24 21:28
Manual will-sweden-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup YES 0.27 0.255 -$5.56 $100.0 2026-02-25 09:15
Manual will-ukraine-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup YES 0.29 0.360 +$24.14 $100.0 2026-02-25 09:15
Page 1 of 1

📜 Recent Trades

StrategyMarketSideEntryPnLStatusTime
1B btc-updown-15m-1772385300 YES 0.865 +$0.78 resolved 2026-03-01T17:29:25
CAL-M4 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? YES 0.755 $0.00 CLOSED 2026-03-01T16:00:56
1B btc-updown-15m-1772373600 YES 0.835 +$0.99 resolved 2026-03-01T14:13:06
CM will-trump-deport-less-than-250000 YES 0.0005 +$9.56 CLOSED 2026-03-01T11:09:47
CM will-trump-deport-less-than-250000 YES 0.0005 +$9.56 CLOSED 2026-03-01T11:09:47
MA will-trump-say-transgender-this-week-march-1 YES 0.37 +$85.14 resolved 2026-03-01T09:19:22
MA will-trump-say-barack-hussein-obama-this-week-march-1 YES 0.245 +$154.08 resolved 2026-03-01T09:19:22
CAL-M4 Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5 YES 0.43 +$0.02 CLOSED 2026-02-28T18:01:05
CM will-fomo-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2026 YES 0.08 +$3.25 CLOSED 2026-02-27T20:29:29
MA Trump mention: Transgender YES 0.495 +$5.10 resolved 2026-02-26T16:46:19

🔧 Infrastructure

ServiceStatusLast Activity
🟢 OpenClaw Gateway active eb_search: no provider configured, auto-detected "brave" from available API keys
🟢 Crypto Collector active 548 python3[58829]: [2026-03-01T20:17:35Z] Pruned 8 resolved markets from memory
🟢 Strategy 1B Bot active :00 srv1356548 python3[154445]: [2026-03-01T20:18:34Z] BTC $65,472.34 (ws_relay)
🟢 Strategy 4 Bot active 03-01T20:09:13+00:00 srv1356548 strategy4[146533]: Sleeping 4h until next run...
🟢 BTC WebSocket Relay active 3-01 20:18:30] STATUS: 61 msgs in 61s (1.0/s) | reconnects=0 | source=binance_ws
🟢 Chrome Browser active ent.cc:36] Unexpected on_device_model service disconnect: Error loading backend.
🔴 Hype Monitor (4h) inactive 6548 systemd[1799]: Stopped hype-monitor.timer - Run hype monitor every 4 hours.
🟢 Mention Arb (6h) active d[1799]: Started mention-arb.timer - Run mention arbitrage bot every 30 minutes.
🟢 Nightly Consolidation active rted nightly-consolidation.timer - Nightly knowledge consolidation at 03:00 UTC.
🔴 NM Scanner (4h) inactive pped new-market.timer - Run Strategy NM new market mispricing bot every 4 hours.
🟢 Political Scorer (4h) active 9]: Started political-scorer.timer - Run Political Scoring Engine every 4 hours.
🔴 PR Bot (1h) inactive 99]: Stopped political-pr.timer - Run PR Bot (Political Reversion) every 1 hour.
🔴 PF Bot (4h) inactive f.timer - Run PF Bot (Political Fundamentals) every 4 hours (5min after scorer).
🟢 Dashboard Deploy (30m) active systemd[1799]: Started dashboard.timer - Regenerate dashboard every 30 minutes.
🟢 Daily CEO Report (07:00) active d[1799]: Started daily-report.timer - Daily CEO report at 07:00 UTC (08:00 CET).
🟢 Position Monitor (15m) active ystemd[1799]: Started position-monitor.timer - Check positions every 15 minutes.

🔍 Watchdog

❌ CRITICAL Last check: 2026-03-01 20:15:39 UTC Duration: 128ms 🔔 2 alert(s) fired
CheckStatusDetails
🟢 services OK
🟢 timers OK
🟢 freshness OK
🔴 integrity CRITICAL cross_market_arb: 9 trade(s) failed schema validation · cross_market_arb: 1 duplicate trade ID(s)
🟡 cadence WARNING strategy1b: only 2 trades in last 24h (expected >= 3)
🟢 dashboard OK
🟢 memory OK

🗄️ Archived / Killed Strategies

StatusStrategyTradesClosedWRPnL
ARCHIVED Strategy 1B v2 (no max entry)
25/25 WR but avg entry 94.7¢ = BE WR 95%. Capped at 0.95 in v3.
0 0 $0.00
ARCHIVED Strategy 1B v1 (pre-bugfix)
No min entry, dupes allowed, 5m enabled. 14 neutral exits from bad entries.
0 0 $0.00
KILLED Strategy A — 90¢+ Scalper
Killed Feb 26. Correct thesis, wrong infra. Sub-second execution needed.
4 4 100.0% +$1.09
KILLED Strategy C — Catalyst Calendar
Killed by backtest. No pre-catalyst drift — markets move ON event day, not before.
0 0 $0.00
KILLED Strategy B — Distribution Sniper
Killed — only 2 multi-bucket markets in 25K dataset. No data to backtest.
0 0 $0.00
KILLED Strategy RC — Resolution Classifier
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). 0% WR on 3 closed trades. Data leakage in backtest.
32 32 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy PR — Political Reversion
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Reversion is 97-99% informed convergence, not noise.
14 14 21.4% +$0.80
KILLED Strategy PF — Political Fundamentals
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
7 7 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy UR — Universal Reversion
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Broad reversion dead — 97-99% informed moves.
25 25 12.0% -$0.46
KILLED Strategy NM — New Market Mispricing
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
18 18 0.0% $0.00
KILLED Strategy FF — Favorite Fade
Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot.
8 8 0.0% $0.00