Generated 2026-03-01 09:31:07 UTC · All data read directly from bot output files · PAPER MODE
| Status | Strategy | Trades | Open | Closed | WR | R:R | EV/Trade | PnL | Last Trade | Data Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAPER | Strategy 1B — Momentum Threshold BTC Up/Down 15m/1h/4h. Entry 0.80-0.95. BE WR: ~85% at sweet spot. |
12 | 0 | 12 | 91.7% (WR (v4)) | — | $0.8042 | +$9.65 | 2026-03-01 08:51 | 26m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy 4 — Hype Reversion Buys NO on YES price spikes. Sells hype. Geo filters + crisis regime. |
0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | — | 2d ago |
| PAPER | Mention Arbitrage Buys YES on mention markets with high evidence scores. |
0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | — | 11m ago |
| PAPER | CAL-M1: Fade Favorites Buy NO on overpriced favorites (crypto >60¢, politics/econ >80-85¢). |
2 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-28 16:52 | 13h 30m ago |
| PAPER | CAL-M2: Trump Longshots Buy YES on Trump longshot markets (20-40¢ range). |
1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-28 20:00 | 13h 30m ago |
| PAPER | CAL-M3: Falling Favorites Buy NO on favorites with downward price momentum. |
1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-28 16:26 | 13h 30m ago |
| PAPER | CAL-M4: Sports Favorites Sports market favorites — fading overpriced YES/NO outcomes. |
2 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% (WR (v1)) | — | $0.0174 | +$0.02 | 2026-02-28 18:01 | 13h 30m ago |
| PAPER | Time Decay Sniper Near-certainty mispricing near expiry. 95%+ WR backtest. Crypto micro-markets excluded. |
22 | 22 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | — | 1h 10m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy CM — Cross-Market Arb Finds logically impossible price combinations across 5,000+ markets. Bets on guaranteed correction. |
41 | 40 | 1 | 100.0% (WR (v1)) | — | $3.2500 | +$3.25 | 2026-03-01 07:09 | 2h 21m ago |
| PAPER | Manual / Legacy Trades WC + early mention arb. Prices tracked via Gamma API. |
3 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-25 09:15 | 16h 3m ago |
| Strategy | Market | Side | Entry | Now | Unreal. PnL | Size | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mention Arb |
will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-this-week-march-1 | YES | 0.155 | 0.031 | -$40.00 | $50 | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
Mention Arb |
1456897 | YES | 0.525 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 09:02 |
Mention Arb |
1456872 | YES | 0.655 | — | — | $5.0 | 2026-03-01 09:02 |
CAL-M1: Fade Favorites |
bitcoin-above-58k-on-march-1 | NO | 0.0105 | 1.000 | -$5.00 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CAL-M1: Fade Favorites |
bitcoin-above-60k-on-march-3 | NO | 0.0935 | 0.955 | -$5.00 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CAL-M2: Trump Longshots |
trump-declares-election-interference-national-emergency | YES | 0.315 | 0.285 | -$0.48 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
CAL-M3: Falling Favorites |
will-ostium-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026 | NO | 0.155 | 0.860 | -$5.00 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 16:26 |
CAL-M4: Sports Favorites |
will-the-oklahoma-city-thunder-finish-with-the-best-re… | YES | 0.644 | 0.565 | -$0.61 | $5.0 | 2026-02-28 17:08 |
TD Time Decay |
will-john-cornyn-win-the-2026-republican-primary | NO | 0.19 | 0.205 | -$0.39 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-cd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-colombian-senat… | NO | 0.06 | 0.041 | +$1.62 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-plc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-colombian-cham… | NO | 0.15 | 0.105 | +$1.50 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-rose-byrne-win-best-actress-at-the-98th-academy-a… | NO | 0.05 | 0.048 | +$0.25 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-sinners-win-best-production-design-at-the-98th-ac… | NO | 0.05 | 0.033 | +$1.75 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-sinners-win-best-costume-design-at-the-98th-acade… | NO | 0.051 | 0.042 | +$0.93 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-ethan-hawke-win-best-actor-at-the-98th-academy-aw… | NO | 0.06 | 0.060 | -$0.04 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-hamnet-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-98th-ac… | NO | 0.06 | 0.045 | +$1.25 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-marty-supreme-win-best-original-screenplay-at-the… | NO | 0.063 | 0.056 | +$0.60 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-ryan-coogler-win-best-director-at-the-98th-academ… | NO | 0.07 | 0.060 | +$0.68 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-sinners-win-best-film-editing-at-the-98th-academy… | NO | 0.072 | 0.057 | +$1.08 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-movie-a-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98th-aca… | NO | 0.076 | 0.061 | +$0.95 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-delroy-lindo-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98t… | NO | 0.084 | 0.071 | +$0.77 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-michael-b-jordan-win-best-actor-at-the-98th-acade… | NO | 0.091 | 0.092 | -$0.05 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-leonardo-dicaprio-win-best-actor-at-the-98th-acad… | NO | 0.11 | 0.115 | -$0.23 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-train-dreams-win-best-cinematography-at-the-98th-… | NO | 0.128 | 0.114 | +$0.57 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-f1-the-movie-win-best-film-editing-at-the-98th-ac… | NO | 0.133 | 0.117 | +$0.62 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-sinners-win-best-picture-at-the-98th-academy-awar… | NO | 0.15 | 0.076 | +$2.45 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-sinners-win-best-cinematography-at-the-98th-acade… | NO | 0.17 | 0.180 | -$0.29 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-wunmi-mosaku-win-best-supporting-actress-at-the-9… | NO | 0.202 | 0.191 | +$0.27 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-jacob-elordi-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98t… | NO | 0.06 | 0.050 | +$0.87 | $5.0 | ? |
TD Time Decay |
will-stellan-skarsgrd-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the… | NO | 0.24 | 0.225 | +$0.31 | $5.0 | ? |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-001 L1: Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Pro… | YES | 0.0035 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-001 L2: Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Provi… | NO | 0.528 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-002 L2: Will Arizona win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's… | NO | 0.75 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-003 L1: Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bis… | YES | 0.0055 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-004 L1: Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize i… | YES | 0.0025 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-005 L1: Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Provi… | YES | 0.0395 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-005 L2: Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Pr… | NO | 0.35 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-006 L1: Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 202… | YES | 0.04 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-007 L1: Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate … | YES | 0.0285 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-008 L1: Will the Republicans win the Michigan gover… | YES | 0.195 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-009 L1: Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin gove… | YES | 0.155 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-010 L2: Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democrati… | NO | 0.535 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-011 L1: Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2… | YES | 0.0175 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-012 L2: Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon G… | NO | 0.465 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-014 L2: Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska … | NO | 0.3 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-015 L2: Will Trump and Putin not meet? | NO | 0.651 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-016 L1: Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the S… | YES | 0.0005 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-017 L2: Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to betwe… | NO | 0.422 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-018 L1: Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of App… | YES | 0.075 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-020 L2: Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma … | NO | 0.57 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 21:10 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-021 L1: Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peac… | YES | 0.0035 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 09:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-022 L1: Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 20… | YES | 0.033 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-023 L1: Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Gover… | YES | 0.0305 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-024 L1: Will Amazon be the largest company in the w… | YES | 0.0025 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-026 L2: Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | NO | 0.327 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-027 L1: Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Bad… | YES | 0.0005 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-028 L2: No one announced as next James Bond? | NO | 0.55 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-029 L2: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime M… | NO | 0.615 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-030 L1: Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greate… | YES | 0.0255 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 16:52 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-031 L1: Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? | YES | 0.0015 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-032 L2: Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacif… | NO | 0.495 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-033 L2: Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Ba… | NO | 0.86 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-034 L1: Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee f… | YES | 0.0005 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-035 L1: Will Nottm Forest finish in 2nd place in th… | YES | 0.0005 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 20:36 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-036 L2: Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic … | NO | 0.605 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 20:36 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-037 L2: Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s… | NO | 0.42 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 21:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-038 L1: Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on J… | YES | 0.0185 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 21:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-039 L1: Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie… | YES | 0.0005 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-040 L2: Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NB… | NO | 0.445 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-041 L1: Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Ark… | YES | 0.0715 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 03:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-042 L1: Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | YES | 0.005 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 07:09 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
CM-043 L2: Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions Leag… | NO | 0.265 | — | — | $10.0 | 2026-03-01 07:09 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-italy-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | YES | 0.625 | 0.625 | $0.00 | $200 | 2026-02-24 21:28 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-sweden-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | YES | 0.27 | 0.285 | +$5.56 | $100.0 | 2026-02-25 09:15 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-ukraine-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | YES | 0.29 | 0.325 | +$12.07 | $100.0 | 2026-02-25 09:15 |
| Strategy | Market | Side | Entry | PnL | Status | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mention Arb |
1403338 | YES | 0.37 | +$85.14 | resolved |
2026-03-01T09:19:22 |
Mention Arb |
1403325 | YES | 0.245 | +$154.08 | resolved |
2026-03-01T09:19:22 |
1B Momentum |
bitcoin-up-or-down-march-1-3am-et | DOWN | 0.875 | $0.00 | timeout |
2026-03-01T08:51:42 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772346600 | DOWN | 0.865 | +$0.78 | resolved |
2026-03-01T06:42:17 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772336700 | DOWN | 0.885 | +$0.65 | resolved |
2026-03-01T03:57:21 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772330400 | UP | 0.835 | +$0.99 | resolved |
2026-03-01T02:12:58 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772326800 | DOWN | 0.865 | +$0.78 | resolved |
2026-03-01T01:11:21 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772308800 | UP | 0.815 | +$1.13 | resolved |
2026-02-28T20:14:01 |
CAL-M4: Sports Favorites |
nba-dal-mil-2026-01-25-total-218pt5 | YES | 0.43 | +$0.02 | CLOSED |
2026-02-28T18:01:05 |
1B Momentum |
bitcoin-up-or-down-february-28-8am-et | UP | 0.815 | +$1.13 | resolved |
2026-02-28T13:48:43 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772271000 | DOWN | 0.895 | +$0.59 | resolved |
2026-02-28T09:41:21 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | ? | +$3.25 | CLOSED |
2026-02-27T20:29:29 |
Mention Arb |
1403338 | YES | 0.495 | +$5.10 | resolved |
2026-02-26T16:46:19 |
| Service | Status | Last Activity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | OpenClaw Gateway | active |
:22:50.235Z [ws] ⇄ res ✓ sessions.patch 78ms conn=bfbbef15…ffde id=93fbf6ca…b740 |
| 🟢 | Crypto Collector | active |
ed markets from API, checking against 2906 known markets (1258 already resolved) |
| 🟢 | Strategy 1B Bot | active |
0:00 srv1356548 python3[90420]: [2026-03-01T09:31:06Z] BTC $66,602.84 (ws_relay) |
| 🟢 | Strategy 4 Bot | active |
03-01T08:09:04+00:00 srv1356548 strategy4[146533]: Sleeping 4h until next run... |
| 🟢 | BTC WebSocket Relay | active |
3-01 09:30:23] STATUS: 60 msgs in 61s (1.0/s) | reconnects=0 | source=binance_ws |
| 🟢 | Chrome Browser | active |
ent.cc:36] Unexpected on_device_model service disconnect: Error loading backend. |
| 🔴 | Hype Monitor (4h) | inactive |
6548 systemd[1799]: Stopped hype-monitor.timer - Run hype monitor every 4 hours. |
| 🟢 | Mention Arb (6h) | active |
d[1799]: Started mention-arb.timer - Run mention arbitrage bot every 30 minutes. |
| 🟢 | Nightly Consolidation | active |
rted nightly-consolidation.timer - Nightly knowledge consolidation at 03:00 UTC. |
| 🔴 | NM Scanner (4h) | inactive |
pped new-market.timer - Run Strategy NM new market mispricing bot every 4 hours. |
| 🟢 | Political Scorer (4h) | active |
9]: Started political-scorer.timer - Run Political Scoring Engine every 4 hours. |
| 🔴 | PR Bot (1h) | inactive |
99]: Stopped political-pr.timer - Run PR Bot (Political Reversion) every 1 hour. |
| 🔴 | PF Bot (4h) | inactive |
f.timer - Run PF Bot (Political Fundamentals) every 4 hours (5min after scorer). |
| 🟢 | Dashboard Deploy (30m) | active |
systemd[1799]: Started dashboard.timer - Regenerate dashboard every 30 minutes. |
| 🟢 | Daily CEO Report (07:00) | active |
d[1799]: Started daily-report.timer - Daily CEO report at 07:00 UTC (08:00 CET). |
| 🟢 | Position Monitor (15m) | active |
ystemd[1799]: Started position-monitor.timer - Check positions every 15 minutes. |
| Check | Status | Details | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | services | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | timers | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | freshness | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | integrity | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | cadence | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | dashboard | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | memory | OK |
— |
| Status | Strategy | Trades | Closed | WR | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCHIVED | Strategy 1B v2 (no max entry) 25/25 WR but avg entry 94.7¢ = BE WR 95%. Capped at 0.95 in v3. |
25 | 25 | 100.0% | +$7.41 |
| ARCHIVED | Strategy 1B v1 (pre-bugfix) No min entry, dupes allowed, 5m enabled. 14 neutral exits from bad entries. |
26 | 26 | 46.2% | +$7.84 |
| KILLED | Strategy A — 90¢+ Scalper Killed Feb 26. Correct thesis, wrong infra. Sub-second execution needed. |
4 | 4 | 100.0% | +$1.09 |
| KILLED | Strategy C — Catalyst Calendar Killed by backtest. No pre-catalyst drift — markets move ON event day, not before. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy B — Distribution Sniper Killed — only 2 multi-bucket markets in 25K dataset. No data to backtest. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy RC — Resolution Classifier Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). 0% WR on 3 closed trades. Data leakage in backtest. |
32 | 32 | 0.0% | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy PR — Political Reversion Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Reversion is 97-99% informed convergence, not noise. |
14 | 14 | 21.4% | +$0.80 |
| KILLED | Strategy PF — Political Fundamentals Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot. |
7 | 7 | 0.0% | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy UR — Universal Reversion Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Broad reversion dead — 97-99% informed moves. |
25 | 25 | 12.0% | -$0.46 |
| KILLED | Strategy NM — Base Rate Divergence Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot. |
18 | 18 | 0.0% | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy FF — Favorite Fade Killed Feb 28 (Sprint 1). Merged into Calibration Bot. |
8 | 8 | 0.0% | $0.00 |