Generated 2026-02-28 01:30:56 UTC · All data read directly from bot output files · PAPER MODE
| Status | Strategy | Trades | Open | Closed | WR | PnL | Last Trade | Data Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAPER | Strategy 1B — Momentum Threshold BTC Up/Down 15m/1h/4h. Entry 0.80-0.95. BE WR: ~85% at sweet spot. |
13 | 0 | 13 | 92.3% (WR (v3)) | +$2.53 | 2026-02-27 21:56 | 2h 59m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy 4 — Hype Reversion Buys NO on YES price spikes. Sells hype. Geo filters + crisis regime. |
0 | 0 | 0 | — | $0.00 | — | 1d ago |
| PAPER | Mention Arbitrage Buys YES on mention markets with high evidence scores. |
0 | 0 | 0 | — | $0.00 | — | 1d ago |
| PAPER | Strategy NM — New Market Mispricing Buys divergence >15¢ from category base rate. 64% backtest hit rate, 7d correction. |
10 | 10 | 0 | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-27 12:49 | 12h 41m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy PR — Political Reversion DCA fade on political market overreactions. Score-anchored entry/exit. |
9 | 5 | 4 | 75.0% (WR (v1)) | +$4.73 | 2026-02-28 01:00 | 29m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy PF — Political Fundamentals Position trading on polling-market divergence. Smart exits by time-to-resolution. |
6 | 6 | 0 | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-27 18:25 | 7h 5m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy CM — Cross-Market Arb Finds logically impossible price combinations across 5,000+ markets. Bets on guaranteed correction. |
0 | 0 | 0 | — | $0.00 | — | 4h 20m ago |
| PAPER | Strategy RC — Resolution Classifier Predicts market resolution from price trajectory. Trained on 11K resolved markets. Edge in 30-70¢ un |
0 | 0 | 0 | — | $0.00 | — | 1h 23m ago |
| PAPER | Manual / Legacy Trades WC + early mention arb. Prices tracked via Gamma API. |
6 | 6 | 0 | — | $0.00 | 2026-02-25 23:15 | 1d ago |
| Strategy | Market | Side | Entry | Now | Unreal. PnL | Size | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mention Arb |
Transgender | BUY_YES | 0.495 | 1.000 | +$5.10 | $5.0 | ? |
NM Base Rate |
will-terri-pickens-win-the-2026-idaho-governor-democra… | NO | 0 | 0.795 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
NM Base Rate |
will-byron-donalds-be-the-republican-nominee-for-flori… | NO | 0 | 0.800 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
NM Base Rate |
will-chong-won-oh-win-the-2026-seoul-mayoral-election | NO | 0 | 0.805 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
NM Base Rate |
will-graham-platner-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-sena… | NO | 0 | 0.775 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
NM Base Rate |
will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-mar… | NO | 0 | 0.700 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
NM Base Rate |
will-jim-pillen-win-the-2026-nebraska-governor-republi… | NO | 0 | 0.720 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
NM Base Rate |
will-cinde-warmington-win-the-2026-new-hampshire-gover… | NO | 0 | 0.720 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
NM Base Rate |
will-keisha-lance-bottoms-win-the-2026-georgia-governo… | NO | 0 | 0.705 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
NM Base Rate |
will-cdu-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-baden-wrttembe… | NO | 0 | 0.671 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
NM Base Rate |
will-the-republicans-win-the-nebraska-senate-race-in-2… | NO | 0 | 0.710 | — | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 12:49 |
PR Reversion |
will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-from-the-senate-before-his… | NO | 0.695 | 0.310 | +$8.31 | $15.0 | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
PR Reversion |
billionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-passes-in-california-e… | NO | 0.685 | 0.315 | +$2.70 | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
PR Reversion |
will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026 | NO | 0.855 | 0.140 | +$4.18 | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
PR Reversion |
will-trump-pardon-ryan-salame-before-2027 | YES | 0.495 | 0.440 | -$0.56 | $5.0 | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
PR Reversion |
will-trump-pardon-ryan-salame-before-2027 | YES | 0.45 | 0.440 | -$0.22 | $10.0 | 2026-02-28 01:00 |
PF Fundament. |
will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-march-31 | YES | 0.065 | 0.065 | $0.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 18:25 |
PF Fundament. |
will-trump-nominate-judy-shelton-as-the-next-fed-chair | YES | 0.0415 | 0.041 | -$0.24 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 18:25 |
PF Fundament. |
will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell | YES | 0.095 | 0.090 | -$0.53 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 18:25 |
PF Fundament. |
will-trump-resign-by-december-31-2026 | YES | 0.065 | 0.065 | $0.00 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 18:25 |
PF Fundament. |
will-trump-nominate-kevin-warsh-as-the-next-fed-chair | NO | 0.0695 | 0.933 | -$124.24 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 18:25 |
PF Fundament. |
will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-from-the-senate-before-his… | NO | 0.695 | 0.310 | +$5.54 | $10.0 | 2026-02-27 18:25 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
CM Cross-Mkt |
? | ? | 0 | — | — | $0 | 2026-02-27 21:10 |
resolution_classifier |
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at th… | NO | 0.715 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography … | YES | 0.675 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Acade… | NO | 0.84 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Arizona win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball… | YES | 0.84 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamb… | YES | 0.74 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | YES | 0.775 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republi… | YES | 0.78 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at… | YES | 0.75 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the … | YES | 0.765 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th A… | YES | 0.545 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Cham… | NO | 0.83 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th A… | NO | 0.813 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | NO | 0.8 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republic… | NO | 0.825 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in th… | YES | 0.645 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Acad… | YES | 0.695 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the … | NO | 0.505 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball re… | YES | 0.615 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball… | YES | 0.595 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98… | NO | 0.7725 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball… | NO | 0.585 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
resolution_classifier |
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for… | YES | 0.575 | — | — | $5.0 | ? |
Manual/Legacy |
will-italy-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | YES | 0.625 | 0.630 | +$1.60 | $200 | 2026-02-24 21:28 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-sweden-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | YES | 0.27 | 0.265 | -$1.85 | $100.0 | 2026-02-25 09:15 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-ukraine-qualify-for-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | YES | 0.29 | 0.325 | +$12.07 | $100.0 | 2026-02-25 09:15 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-trump-say-transgender-this-week-march-1 | YES | 0.37 | 1.000 | +$85.14 | $50 | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-this-week-march-1 | YES | 0.155 | 0.075 | -$25.81 | $50 | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
Manual/Legacy |
will-trump-say-barack-hussein-obama-this-week-march-1 | YES | 0.245 | 1.000 | +$154.08 | $50 | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| Strategy | Market | Side | Entry | PnL | Status | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
resolution_classifier |
Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball re… | YES | 0.615 | $0.00 | ? |
? |
resolution_classifier |
Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball… | YES | 0.595 | $0.00 | ? |
? |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772228700 | DOWN | 0.945 | +$0.29 | resolved |
2026-02-27T21:56:19 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772221500 | UP | 0.865 | +$0.78 | resolved |
2026-02-27T19:57:20 |
1B Momentum |
bitcoin-up-or-down-february-27-1pm-et | DOWN | 0.945 | +$0.29 | resolved |
2026-02-27T18:51:01 |
PR Reversion |
will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-from-the-senate-before-his… | NO | 0.695 | +$6.58 | CLOSED |
2026-02-27T18:13:45 |
PR Reversion |
billionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-passes-in-california-e… | NO | 0.685 | +$2.30 | CLOSED |
2026-02-27T18:13:45 |
PR Reversion |
will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026 | NO | 0.855 | +$0.85 | CLOSED |
2026-02-27T18:13:45 |
PR Reversion |
will-trump-pardon-ryan-salame-before-2027 | YES | 0.495 | -$5.00 | CLOSED |
2026-02-27T18:13:45 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772215200 | DOWN | 0.945 | +$0.29 | resolved |
2026-02-27T18:12:53 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772212500 | DOWN | 0.845 | +$0.92 | resolved |
2026-02-27T17:26:18 |
1B Momentum |
bitcoin-up-or-down-february-27-10am-et | UP | 0.855 | +$0.85 | resolved |
2026-02-27T15:52:31 |
1B Momentum |
btc-updown-15m-1772204400 | UP | 0.815 | +$1.13 | resolved |
2026-02-27T15:11:23 |
1B Momentum |
bitcoin-up-or-down-february-27-9am-et | DOWN | 0.845 | +$0.92 | resolved |
2026-02-27T14:45:06 |
| Service | Status | Last Activity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | OpenClaw Gateway | active |
eb_search: no provider configured, auto-detected "brave" from available API keys |
| 🟢 | Crypto Collector | active |
sed markets from API, checking against 1837 known markets (119 already resolved) |
| 🟢 | Strategy 1B Bot | active |
0:00 srv1356548 python3[90420]: [2026-02-28T01:30:56Z] BTC $65,835.75 (ws_relay) |
| 🟢 | Strategy 4 Bot | active |
-02-27T22:15:34+00:00 srv1356548 strategy4[55070]: Sleeping 4h until next run... |
| 🟢 | BTC WebSocket Relay | active |
2-28 01:30:11] STATUS: 61 msgs in 61s (1.0/s) | reconnects=0 | source=binance_ws |
| 🟢 | Chrome Browser | active |
ent.cc:36] Unexpected on_device_model service disconnect: Error loading backend. |
| 🟢 | Hype Monitor (4h) | active |
6548 systemd[1799]: Started hype-monitor.timer - Run hype monitor every 4 hours. |
| 🟢 | Mention Arb (6h) | active |
temd[1799]: Started mention-arb.timer - Run mention arbitrage bot every 6 hours. |
| 🟢 | Nightly Consolidation | active |
rted nightly-consolidation.timer - Nightly knowledge consolidation at 03:00 UTC. |
| 🟢 | NM Scanner (4h) | active |
rted new-market.timer - Run Strategy NM new market mispricing bot every 4 hours. |
| 🟢 | Political Scorer (4h) | active |
9]: Started political-scorer.timer - Run Political Scoring Engine every 4 hours. |
| 🟢 | PR Bot (1h) | active |
99]: Started political-pr.timer - Run PR Bot (Political Reversion) every 1 hour. |
| 🟢 | PF Bot (4h) | active |
f.timer - Run PF Bot (Political Fundamentals) every 4 hours (5min after scorer). |
| 🟢 | Dashboard Deploy (30m) | active |
systemd[1799]: Started dashboard.timer - Regenerate dashboard every 30 minutes. |
| 🟢 | Daily CEO Report (07:00) | active |
d[1799]: Started daily-report.timer - Daily CEO report at 07:00 UTC (08:00 CET). |
| 🟢 | Position Monitor (15m) | active |
ystemd[1799]: Started position-monitor.timer - Check positions every 15 minutes. |
| Check | Status | Details | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 | services | OK |
— |
| 🟡 | timers | WARNING |
Timer memory-consolidator: cannot determine last trigger time |
| 🟡 | freshness | WARNING |
data/political/pf_trades.jsonl is 410m old (threshold 360m) · data/new_market/trades.jsonl is 746m old (threshold 360m) · data/strategy1b/trades.jsonl is 165m old (threshold 120m) |
| 🟢 | integrity | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | cadence | OK |
— |
| 🟢 | dashboard | OK |
— |
| 🟡 | memory | WARNING |
No daily log for 2026-02-28 but 10 DONE commitments exist |
| Status | Strategy | Trades | Closed | WR | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCHIVED | Strategy 1B v2 (no max entry) 25/25 WR but avg entry 94.7¢ = BE WR 95%. Capped at 0.95 in v3. |
25 | 25 | 100.0% | +$7.41 |
| ARCHIVED | Strategy 1B v1 (pre-bugfix) No min entry, dupes allowed, 5m enabled. 14 neutral exits from bad entries. |
26 | 26 | 46.2% | +$7.84 |
| KILLED | Strategy A — 90¢+ Scalper Killed Feb 26. Correct thesis, wrong infra. Sub-second execution needed. |
4 | 4 | 100.0% | +$1.09 |
| KILLED | Strategy C — Catalyst Calendar Killed by backtest. No pre-catalyst drift — markets move ON event day, not before. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |
| KILLED | Strategy B — Distribution Sniper Killed — only 2 multi-bucket markets in 25K dataset. No data to backtest. |
0 | 0 | — | $0.00 |